SoCon log5

March 8-11. All games at Asheville, NC.

All-kenpom: Jake Cohen, Davidson (kPOY); De’Mon Brooks, Davidson; Karl Cochran, Wofford; Lucas Troutman, Elon; Andrew Lawrence, College of Charleston.

Davidson steamrolled the conference during the regular season, losing just one game and easily taking the top spot in both offensive and defensive efficiency in conference play. Of their 17 conference wins, 12 were by double digits. They enter the tournament on a 14-game winning streak including a home BracketBusters win over Montana. They’ve gone 36-3 against SoCon foes over the past two seasons. The primary threat to the Wildcats is the College of Charleston. First-year coach Doug Wojcik already has the Cougars guarding the three-point line like his Tulsa teams did.

Western Carolina gets half of home-court advantage due to proximity to the host site.

Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? Here’s more than you want to know.

 1 Davidson        100  90.5  83.2  67.8
 3 Charleston      100  70.0  47.5  15.6
 2 Elon            100  72.8  30.9   7.5
 6 W. Carolina    85.9  28.7  15.4   3.3
 4 Appalachian St. 100  59.2   7.2   2.2
 8 Wofford        65.0   7.3   4.4   1.6
 5 Samford        81.8  37.9   4.1   1.1
10 UNC Greensboro 55.6  16.2   3.8   0.5
 7 Chattanooga    44.4  11.0   2.2   0.2
 9 Ga. Southern   35.0   2.2   1.0   0.2
11 The Citadel    14.1   1.3   0.2   0.02
12 Furman         18.2   2.9   0.09  0.007