Author Archives: Ken Pomeroy

Who likes it when players get into foul trouble? Well, maybe nobody, but it’s one of the most interesting strategic aspects of college basketball. While people have been thinking about ways to eliminate the individual limit on personal fouls, I’d feel very strongly about preserving the five-foul limit if officiating were perfect. Mainly because I […]

There are a few ways to analyze something but using the wisdom of the crowd is one my favorites. Of course, it depends on the particular crowd. Me, I’d prefer to use the crowd that bets money on things. Anyone can make predictions but history shows the best ones are made by people that put […]

Hey coaches! Need a hand filling out your schedule for the the 2018-19 season? I can’t play matchmaker but I can provide you a spreadsheet with a first cut of expected ratings for every team next season. These ratings use the same method that has produced the preseason ratings on my site in previous seasons. […]

Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1E Villanova 72.5 48.5 31.1 23.3 2MW Duke 81.1 54.0 28.8 20.4 4W Gonzaga 68.9 40.0 25.9 10.7 2E Purdue 61.1 26.3 13.7 8.7 3W Michigan 62.3 32.7 20.0 7.8 5S Kentucky 63.6 37.7 17.8 5.8 1MW Kansas 53.9 22.2 8.5 4.8 7S Nevada 56.9 27.6 11.4 3.2 5MW Clemson 46.1 […]

Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1E Villanova 97.4 81.9 62.5 43.7 28.7 18.1 1S Virginia 96.7 78.1 59.9 41.4 28.9 17.6 2MW Duke 95.9 80.3 51.8 36.9 20.7 12.1 2S Cincinnati 87.3 62.8 42.1 21.8 13.1 6.6 2E Purdue 94.3 68.7 45.8 22.7 12.4 6.6 2W North Carolina 95.9 70.9 43.6 25.8 12.4 5.7 […]

If you are looking my annual conference tournament probabilities, they are being posted to my twitter account.

Hey everyone. Now that the beginning-of-the-season rush has settled down, it’s a good time to go over some of the new features on the site. The short version is: – New and improved win probability graphs (with FanMatch updates) – Team records – Age and position information on the player pages (when available) – Better […]

App news

Some of you who have used the kenpom app lately may have noticed that you are unable to log in. (You may be lucky for a while if you have an Android.) Without getting into the technical causes of this, it’s the symptom of a larger issue. The talented people that originally designed the apps […]

In our last installment, we discussed the degree to which past home-scoring advantage predicts future home-scoring advantage. We can look at other stats and derive home advantages from them. For an example, let’s use home steals advantage. Like home-scoring advantage, this is the difference between a team’s home steal margin and road margin. In conference […]

Who has the largest home-court advantage in college basketball? How many points is it worth? Well, I have some bad news for you: It is really impossible to answer these questions with much precision. We can look at the box score of a game and see how many points a team won by or how […]