Yearly Archives: 2010

Let’s start this week’s kPOY update with an e-mail. Ken, Neat idea.  Just curious if you were concerned about using raw totals not adjusted for the level of competition?  I suppose the team strength brings that into play, but doesn’t Jimmer Fredette have some kind of advantage over most of the rest of the players […]

Response to the initial announcement of the kPOY has been overwhelming. I’ve received correspondence from as far away as Ohio and while there have been many different questions, the most common one involves who would have won the award in past seasons. We only have comprehensive and accurate tempo-free player stats going back to the […]

Question – when Texas A&M beat Washington 63-62 in College Station last Saturday, were you convinced that the Aggies were the better team? If you are like most fans and media members, you were. However, if anything, that result proved the opposite. Fortunately, there are plenty of rematches in the sport, so one can use […]

The only frustration of following college hoops is that it’s impossible to follow everything. And I don’t like trusting The Man to tell me what I’ve missed, because The Man is missing stuff, too. That premise is the basis for this site, and it’s also the basis for America’s newest player of the year award. […]

Here at, we care deeply about how well our predictions do. It’s one thing to say you’ve picked 76% of winners, but that’s a meaningless statistic, especially in a sport with as many mismatches as college hoops. That’s why this season we are tracking the performance of our forecasts. Eventually, we’ll use this information […]

The ACC/Big Ten Challenge commences tonight with Virginia at Minnesota and continues the next two nights with five games apiece. For the first time I can remember, the Big Ten is considered a heavy favorite to win the 11-game series. If you go game by game, you can easily come to the conclusion the Big […]

As I am sure you noticed, I posted the predicted win distributions on each of the team pages for both overall wins (based on games listed on the schedule portion) and conference wins. They give the percent chance of a team finishing with a specific number of wins based on the current ratings. Much thanks […]

The final moments of Wednesday’s BYU/Utah State produced a controversial call in a close game. With a little over two minutes to go in a three-point game, Verne Harris called an intentional foul on Utah State scoring machine Tai Wesley for swinging his elbows and making contact with an opponent. I’m not sure whether the […]

There have been two common concerns regarding the pre-season ratings that need to be addressed. The first deals with what happens to them now that games are being played. Currently, the pre-season ratings hold the weight of a little less than five games of play. This figure was selected somewhat arbitrarily, but in doing some […]

Game on

I’ve made a few changes to the site, which I hope to be improvements. The most obvious thing is that I’m not starting with zeroes for every team this season. Each team has a pre-season guess for adjusted efficiencies and pace. Details on the system are in the book, which makes a great Thanksgiving present. […]