by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, March 11, 2012
Conference tourney season ends today, seemingly hours after it started. And that means it’s time to look back on the successes and failures of the system. The chart below attempts to summarize the performance of the log5 method vs. the seeds. For instance, 12 teams won a title that were deemed the most likely to win its conference tournament by log5, while ten teams won a title that were the top seed. It wasn’t quite the convincing victory that log5 scored last season, and there’s still some business to take care of today. To this point, though, only a single one-seed (Long Island U.) won its tourney while not being favored by log5. Last season there were none.