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    Log5 Part 5: Woulda, coulda, shoulda

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 6, 2012


    The news from Monday night was that the Sun Belt title game on Tuesday will be between fifth-seeded North Texas and seventh-seeded Western Kentucky, a game that had a 1-in-159 chance of occurring before the tourney started. The winner will have had no better than a 4.1% chance of winning the automatic bid, thus setting a new standard for improbability this week.

    Western Carolina becomes a championship week footnote after coming painstakingly close to knocking off Davidson in the SoCon final. The Catamounts had but a 1.1% chance of winning the title. Alas, they fell in double OT.

    These are the last four conferences that need analysis.

    Pac-12 Conference
    “UCLA: The Cinderella Story”
    March 7-10
    All games at Los Angeles, CA (UCLA/USC get half home court advantage)

     Qtrs Semis Final Champ 2 California 100 69.3 48.6 32.3 5 UCLA 90.1 48.3 30.2 14.9 4… 
    

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