Log5 Part 5: Woulda, coulda, shoulda
by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 6, 2012
The news from Monday night was that the Sun Belt title game on Tuesday will be between fifth-seeded North Texas and seventh-seeded Western Kentucky, a game that had a 1-in-159 chance of occurring before the tourney started. The winner will have had no better than a 4.1% chance of winning the automatic bid, thus setting a new standard for improbability this week.
Western Carolina becomes a championship week footnote after coming painstakingly close to knocking off Davidson in the SoCon final. The Catamounts had but a 1.1% chance of winning the title. Alas, they fell in double OT.
These are the last four conferences that need analysis.
Pac-12 Conference
“UCLA: The Cinderella Story”
March 7-10
All games at Los Angeles, CA (UCLA/USC get half home court advantage)
Qtrs Semis Final Champ 2 California 100 69.3 48.6 32.3 5 UCLA 90.1 48.3 30.2 14.9 4…