Subscribe!
Follow me on twitter

The good stuff


At other venues...
  • ESPN.com ($)
  • Deadspin
  • Slate

  • Strategy
  • Whether to foul up 3 late
  • The value of 2-for-1’s

  • Philosophy
  • Brady Heslip’s non-slump
  • The magic of negative motivation
  • A treatise on plus-minus
  • The preseason AP poll is great
  • The magic of negative motivation
  • The lack of information in close-game performance
  • Why I don’t believe in clutchness*

  • Fun stuff
  • The missing 1-point games
  • Which two teams last lost longest ago?
  • How many first-round picks will Kentucky have?
  • Prepare for the Kobe invasion
  • Predicting John Henson's free throw percentage
  • Can Derrick Williams set the three-point accuracy record?
  • Play-by-play Theater: earliest disqualification
  • Monthly Archives

  • July 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • July 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • July 2007
  • June 2007
  • May 2007
  • April 2007
  • March 2007
  • February 2007
  • January 2007
  • December 2006
  • November 2006
  • October 2006
  • September 2006
  • August 2006
  • July 2006
  • June 2006
  • May 2006
  • April 2006
  • March 2006
  • February 2006
  • January 2006
  • December 2005
  • November 2005
  • October 2005
  • September 2005
  • August 2005
  • July 2005
  • June 2005
  • May 2005
  • April 2005
  • March 2005
  • February 2005
  • January 2005
  • December 2004
  • November 2004
  • October 2004
  • September 2004
  • August 2004
  • July 2004
  • June 2004
  • May 2004
  • April 2004
  • March 2004
  • February 2004
  • January 2004
  • December 2003
  • November 2003

  • RSS feed

    Week in Review: Dexter Strickened

    by Ken Pomeroy on Friday, January 11, 2013


    The 3 most appealing games (according to FanMatchTM):
    1) Oregon 70, Arizona 66 [67] (Thursday) Oregon as Pac-12 champs? It’s now a realistic statement. (My simulator says they have a 33% chance now.) The Ducks spotted Arizona the first eleven points, but eventually built a 14-point of their own early in the second half. And a late Wildcat charge came up a possession short.

    2) Minnesota 84, Illinois 67 [70] (Wednesday) Minnesota was only able to rebound a season-low 26% of their missed shots, and they still managed to score 1.20 points per possession. On the road. That’s scary. It’s also probably not a sustainable approach for the Gophers, or at least that's what the rest of the Big Ten has to hope. Joe Coleman getting 29 points isn’t sustainable either, but that’s what he did as Minnesota opened up a cushion mid-way through the second half and won easily.

    3) Miami 68, North Carolina 59 [63] (Thursday) Miami as ACC champs? It’s not all that realistic (11%), but I'm giving the ‘Canes the distinction of being the second-best team in the ACC, for whatever that’s worth. This game was broken open by an 8-0 Miami run over three possessions late in the second half. It game the Hurricanes a nine-point lead with three minutes to go. Much of the twitter buzz revolved around Dexter Strickland’s line. He played 26 minutes and did nothing statistically but shoot an airball. That's good for a zero offensive rating on 2% usage.

    The 3 biggest upsets:
    1) #312 Samford (7%) 62, #135 College of Charleston 57 [58] (Thursday) Samford’s not nearly as interesting without Jimmy Tillette coaching them. They no longer take more threes than twos, for example. But they pulled off a SoCon shocker last night. And they overcame a 53-44 deficit with 4:30 to go to do so.

    2) #327 East Tennessee State (13%) 49, #236 Northern Kentucky 44 [49] (Monday) The Bucs got their second D-I win of the season in a game that was also notable for being the low-possession game of the year (tying with Savannah State vs. Western Illinois on January 2).

    3) #260 Missouri State (14%) 62, #59 Illinois State 55 [64] (Tuesday) Welcome back to this section, Missouri State. After a spellbindingly-awful non-conference performance, the Bears are now 3-1 in the Valley, but projected for 6-12. They would probably take upset of the weekend honors with a win over Creighton tonight. Good luck!

    Random awkward action photo.

    The 3 craziest comebacks:
    1) Samford (1.0%) over College of Charleston. (Thursday) Detailed above.

    2) Towson (1.1%) over William & Mary. (Wednesday) Towson, leader of the CAA at 3-0 after going 1-28 last season, is officially a story. (Thank you, Jerrelle Benimon.) They were actually a slight favorite at the outset to win this one, but a huge underdog when the Tribe had the ball, up 66-57 with 2:06 to go. The Tigers forced OT when they got their heart broken by William & Mary’s Marcus Thornton, who hit a three with less than two seconds left to force double OT. But that’s where Towson is at their best, and they outscored the Tribe 21-8 for a 99-86 [87] win.

    3) West Virginia (1.5%) over Texas. (Wednesday). The Mountaineers won a basketball game in which they had scored 37 points with 3:41 to go. You could probably guess it had to come against either Georgetown, Tennessee, or Texas. Indeed, it was the Longhorns that were up ten at that point. Somehow, WVU put together four consecutive scoring possessions to end regulation, and blitzed Texas 7-3 in OT to get its first Big 12 win, 57-53 [68].

    Unbeatens remaining: Duke and Michigan. (Two fewer since Monday.)

    Winless teams remaining: Maryland-Eastern Shore and Grambling. (Unchanged since Monday.)

    This weekend’s 3 most appealing games (according to FanMatchTM):
    1) #7 Michigan at #10 Ohio State (Sunday, 1:30 PM ET, CBS). The perception of the Buckeyes seems to fall quite a bit short of their numbers. After all, they’ve had 80 minutes against Final Four contenders Duke and Kansas, and while the results were mixed, they were mixed and not all bad. In fact, they had the second-best offensive game against Duke to date. So while the Buckeyes may not be on the level of the Big Ten’s top three, they may not be that far off, either. We'll know more after this one.

    2) #8 Minnesota at #3 Indiana (Saturday, Noon ET, Big Ten Network). If you like offensive rebounds, then this game will appeal to you. A made shot will be good offense for these teams, of course, but a missed shot won’t be a bad second alternative, either, especially if you’re Indiana. (Minnesota is a rather shaky 270th in defensive rebounding.)

    3) #23 Missouri at #25 Ole Miss (Saturday, 8 PM ET, Fox Sports Net). I like the fact that the three big games this weekend are not competing with each other. There's no need to pick favorites and there are breath-catching breaks after each. And yes, this is a big game, and one that won’t be lacking for points. The viewer will also get to catch up with Rebel shooting guard shooter Marshall Henderson. He’s still chasing the single-season three-point attempt record, having launched 150 in 14 games, but he's fallen a bit off the pace he needs. Cheer him on! He needs your help. Between Henderson and Missouri's Phil Pressey, there should be plenty of crazy things going on to keep you interested.