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  • Your 2016 kPOY: Brice Johnson
  • Spiking the football on the 30-second shot clock
  • Sweet 16 probabilities
  • Need scheduling help?
  • 2016 NCAA tournament log5
  • 2016 Big West tournament preview
  • 2016 WAC tournament preview
  • 2016 Sun Belt tournament preview
  • 2016 American tournament preview
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    Your 2016 kPOY: Brice Johnson

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, April 7, 2016


    Congratulations to the winner of 2016 kenpom.com player of the year award, North Carolina’s Brice Johnson. The senior forward finished the season with a 127 offensive rating, which was third in the country among players that used at least 24 percent of their team’s possessions. He got there by making 61 percent of his field goal attempts and 78 percent of his free throws, which produced a true shooting percentage of 64.9, easily a career high and the 25th-best figure in the land.

    He also produced on the defensive end. His defensive rebound percentage of 28.5 ranked 13th in the country, and he produced solid block and steal percentages of 5.5 and 2.2 respectively. As a result, he racked up 18 game MVP’s over the course of the season, good for fifth-most in the country. He earned a total of eight his first three seasons in Chapel Hill.

    Read more...

    Spiking the football on the 30-second shot clock

    by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, April 4, 2016


    FIBA adopted a 30-second shot clock in 1956. Women’s collegiate basketball started using it in 1969. In 2015, men’s college basketball ended decades of trepidation and joined the rest of the world by instituting a 30-second shot clock. Even being nearly four decades behind everyone else, there was still plenty of debate over whether the men’s game was doing the right thing.

    In the midst of the one of the lowest scoring seasons since 1952 (exceeded only by 1982 and 2013), 30 percent of coaches polled by Jeff Goodman supported keeping the shot clock at 35. Maybe that figure wasn’t so bad. After all, it’s difficult to get 70 percent agreement on just about any topic. If such polls were conducted before the introduction of the shot clock or 3-point line, I’m guessing we’d find similar levels of dissent.

    Read more...

    Sweet 16 probabilities

    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 23, 2016


    Here’s the forecast based on the latest ratings. The biggest winners of the first week were the survivors in the Midwest thanks to the Michigan State upset. The team hurt the most was Oregon, who struggled with Saint Joseph’s and has to deal with a chalk bracket in the West.

                        Elite8 Final4 Final  Champ  1 in   Pvs
     1MW  Virginia       70.8   52.6   33.8   20.8    5   13.2
     1E   North Carolina 65.8   51.0   29.3   17.1    6   10.3
     1S   Kansas         72.7   40.9   27.2   15.4    6   15.4
     2S   Villanova      63.4   34.8   22.7   12.5    8    7.3
     2W   Oklahoma       56.1   30.5   12.6    5.5   18    5.5
     1W   Oregon         54.6   27.5   10.8    4.5   22    4.9
     5E   Indiana        34.2   21.9    9.3    3.9   25    1.6
    11MW  Gonzaga        58.1   20.0    8.6    3.4   30    0.5
     3S   Miami FL       36.6   15.3    7.9    3.4   30    1.8
     3W   Texas A&M      43.9   21.2    7.6    2.9   35    2.4
     4MW  Iowa St.       29.2   15.9    7.0    2.8   35    1.3
     4W   Duke           45.4   20.7    7.3    2.7   37    1.2
    10MW  Syracuse       41.9   11.6    4.1    1.3   75    0.1
     5S   Maryland       27.3    9.0    3.9    1.3   76    0.9
     7E   Wisconsin      51.6   14.3    4.3    1.3   76    0.3
     6E   Notre Dame     48.4   12.8    3.7    1.1   93    0.2

    Read more...

    Need scheduling help?

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 22, 2016


    Hey coaches, need a hand with filling out your schedule for the the 2016-17 season? I can’t play matchmaker, but I can provide you a spreadsheet with a first cut of expected ratings for every team next season. These ratings use the same method that has produced the preseason ratings on my site in previous seasons. The projections are mostly based on the quality of returning players and previous team performance, but there is more discussion about the ingredients here.

    Data provided will be a list of all 351 D-I teams with overall ranking, and national rankings in offense, defense, and tempo. In addition, for those of you that are into gaming the RPI, teams are ranked by projected conference winning percentage so you can identify opponents which may rack up plenty of wins but be relatively easy to defeat. This data can assist you in finding the type and quality of opponent you are looking for to fill out your schedule for the upcoming season and will not be shared with anyone outside the coaching community until October. Please send a message to ratings at kenpom dot com and we can discuss terms.

    Read more...

    2016 NCAA tournament log5

    by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, March 13, 2016


    What follows is the odds for every team in the field of 68 advancing through each round of the NCAA tournament using log5 methodology and my ratings.

    Read more...

    2016 Big West tournament preview

    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 9, 2016


    Big West Conference
    March 10-12. All games at Anaheim.
    kPOY: Michael Bryson, UC Santa Barbara.

    The Big West tournament begins Thursday with quarterfinal action at the Honda Center.

    Read more...

    2016 WAC tournament preview

    Western Athletic Conference
    March 10-12. All games at Las Vegas.
    kPOY: Pascal Siakam, New Mexico State.

    The WAC tournament gets underway Thursday with three quarterfinal games at the Orleans Arena.

    Read more...

    2016 Sun Belt tournament preview

    Sun Belt Conference
    March 10-13. All games at New Orleans.
    kPOY: Shawn Long, Louisiana Lafayette.

    The Sun Belt tournament begins on Thursday with two first-round games at Lakefront Arena.

    Read more...

    2016 American tournament preview

    American Athletic Conference
    March 10-13. All games at Orlando.
    kPOY: Daniel Hamilton, Connecticut.

    The American tournament gets underway Thursday with two first-round games at the Amway Center.

    Read more...

    2016 Big Ten tournament preview

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 8, 2016


    Big Ten Conference
    March 9-13. All games at Indianapolis.
    kPOY: Denzel Valentine, Michigan State.

    The Big Ten gets underway on Wednesday with two first-round games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

    Read more...

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