by Drew Cannon on Monday, June 18, 2012
[Note: Drew Cannon has been working on projecting freshman performance using a combination of stats and some subjective measures. You know Drew from his work at Basketball Prospectus and ESPN Insider. He’ll be posting occasionally throughout the summer, and maybe longer. Please note the bylines going forward. - Ken]
I’ve gone and made advanced stats projections for the ESPNU Top 100 freshmen for next season. All the info that went in is player-specific rather than team-specific, so Mo Watson’s numbers aren’t adjusted for the easier schedule he’ll face in the America East conference, Jordan Price’s numbers don’t reflect the larger load of the offense he’ll have to take since he’s at Auburn, and Josh Scott’s rebounding numbers aren’t affected by the fact that he’ll be fighting Andre Roberson on the glass.
Right now, these projections aren’t particularly complicated. I don’t try to figure out minutes, for example. And…