by Ken Pomeroy on Friday, January 16, 2009
It can be easy to get lost in the modern-day college hoops world with dozens of games being played each night, many of them broadcast on outlets you barely know exist. Ever kick yourself for watching a dud of a game on a four-letter network only to find out the next morning that you missed a thriller on a three-letter or even a two-letter network? Well, kick no more, because FanMatch is here! What is FanMatch you ask?
FanMatch was developed by trained engineers with Ph.D.’s in psychology who understand the 23 natural factors that enhance a fan’s viewing experience. The staff at FanMatch is constantly looking for games over the next three days that you will enjoy. It evaluates each of these 23 factors independently for every game on the upcoming schedule, and combined with the personal information and cookies stored on your computer, determines just how likely…
by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, January 11, 2009
by Ken Pomeroy on Saturday, January 10, 2009
Adjusted efficiency: Raw offensive efficiency is points scored per 100 offensive possessions. The adjusted version adjusts for the quality of opposing defenses, the site of each game, and when each game was played (recent games get more weight). Defensive efficiency is points allowed per 100 defensive possessions, adjusted for the same things.
Tempo: We can estimate possessions very well from box score stats by using this formula: FGA-OR+TO+0.475xFTA.
For each team, possessions are counted for the team and their opponents, and then averaged. A team’s average tempo is total possessions divided by minutes. This value is then adjusted for schedule, considering the preferred pace of each opponent and when each game was played.
Effective field goal percentage (eFG%): Computed from (FGM + 0.5*3PM)/FGA. This differs from conventional field goal percentage by taking into account the extra value of a made 3-pointer.
Turnover percentage: Turnovers…