CourtIntelligence powered by

Most recent entries

  • The NRG effect
  • Jump ball data
  • Sweet 16 log5
  • The 30-second shot clock is here
  • NCAA tournament log5
  • Least likely conference tourney events
  • Ivy League log5
  • WAC log5
  • Big West log5
  • Big Sky log5
  • The good stuff

    At other venues...
  • ($)
  • Deadspin
  • Slate

  • Strategy
  • Whether to foul up 3 late
  • The value of 2-for-1’s
  • Whether to foul when tied (1, 2, 3)

  • Philosophy
  • All points are not created equal
  • Brady Heslip’s non-slump
  • The magic of negative motivation
  • A treatise on plus-minus
  • The preseason AP poll is great
  • The lack of information in close-game performance
  • Why I don’t believe in clutchness*

  • Fun stuff
  • The missing 1-point games
  • Which two teams last lost longest ago?
  • How many first-round picks will Kentucky have?
  • Prepare for the Kobe invasion
  • Predicting John Henson's free throw percentage
  • Can Derrick Williams set the three-point accuracy record?
  • Play-by-play Theater: earliest disqualification
  • Monthly Archives

  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • December 2014
  • November 2014
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • July 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • July 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • July 2007
  • June 2007
  • May 2007
  • April 2007
  • March 2007
  • February 2007
  • January 2007
  • December 2006
  • November 2006
  • October 2006
  • September 2006
  • August 2006
  • July 2006
  • June 2006
  • May 2006
  • April 2006
  • March 2006
  • February 2006
  • January 2006
  • December 2005
  • November 2005
  • October 2005
  • September 2005
  • August 2005
  • July 2005
  • June 2005
  • May 2005
  • April 2005
  • March 2005
  • February 2005
  • January 2005
  • December 2004
  • November 2004
  • October 2004
  • September 2004
  • August 2004
  • July 2004
  • June 2004
  • May 2004
  • April 2004
  • March 2004
  • February 2004
  • January 2004
  • December 2003
  • November 2003

  • RSS feed

    Breaking RPI News

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, March 10, 2005

    After seeing the 'team sheet' that Luke Winn posted, the alarm bells sounded in my head (see previous post). But then I read Gregg Doyel's piece this morning, and noticed this...

    Until Wednesday, the Pac-10 had been the country's No. 2-rated RPI league for months. Bowlsby himself thought the Pac-10 remained the No. 2 league, referring to that league as second behind the ACC, until Hancock informed him of the change.

    The ACC remains No. 1. The Pac-10? It's now fourth. In between are the Big 12 (second) and the Big East (third), which had been third and fourth behind the Pac-10 until Wednesday.

    In the computation you have been seeing on my page, the Pac-10 has remained number two all week, and comfortably so. But now I am fairly certain this computation is wrong based on the above the information.

    Back in January, when the RPI changes…


    Tourney Talk

    Andy Katz has an article detailing the hopes of bubble teams after talking to some people close to the committee. (But I think it's hard to believe Notre Dame, with an RPI of 92, still has a bid after a stinker of a performance against Rutgers). Katz knew the field before CBS did last March, and if you want to know who is in and who is out before anyone else on Sunday, you would be advised to listen to your local ESPN affiliate as I am sure Andy will be dropping some hints Sunday afternoon.

    Elsewhere, Luke Winn has a comprehensive look at the selection process. What caught my eye about this is the 'team sheet' example presented for Illinois. All of the data looks factual...except that it lists Illinois as having played two home games against Ohio State and two road games against Purdue.…


    Cants Win It All Without Rashad

    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 9, 2005

    UNC's Rashad McCants has missed the Tar Heels last four games due to a mysterious intestinal disorder. UNC has won all four games, but not surprisingly, they have not been as dominant without him. Most of the minutes vacated by McCants have been snapped up by the offensively-challenged and smaller Melvin Scott. How has McCants' absence affected his team? Let's look at how UNC performed in the four games without him, and against those same opponents earlier in the season when McCants played.

      With McCants Without McCants -Opponent- Tempo OE DE Tempo OE DE  NC St. 67.9 140 105 62.9 129 113 Maryland 89.4 122 84 72.6 117 114 Florida St. 68.0 119 88 73.4 124 103 Duke 71.5 98 99 68.0 110 107 Average 74.2 120 94 69.2 120 109  

    If you have been reading this blog for a while then you're familiar…


    The Field Revealed

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 8, 2005

    So I'm about to announce the at-large field for this year's tourney. The real committee can ignore Sunday's games, so why can't I ignore games starting on Tuesday?

    Naturally, I'm sure I'll get a few wrong. But one thing I won't be wrong about is this - New Mexico has no shot at an at-large. Yeah, Ritchie McKay has told anyone that will listen that Danny Granger was out for three of their six losses, and this has been trumpeted religiously by various media outlets. But who have they beat with him? Utah and that's it. You can't really excuse a double digit loss at BYU, regardless of Granger being out - and the Lobos have only played four games against the top 100, losing three. This team needs to win the MWC tourney - and I have a funny feeling they will, costing one of the teams below an…


    Senior Day

    by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, March 7, 2005

    Now that every school (except two Ivy Leaguers) has had a chance to honor their seniors, I thought I would recognize five seniors that made a difference during their career. This got me to thinking, why isn't there some award for the best seniors in the nation? With so many people wringing their hands over the recent increase in early departures, it only seems logical that someone produce an all-senior team.

    Here's my list of top seniors - with some qualifications. First, I'm doing this to spotlight the career progression of each player, so I decided to eliminate transfers from consideration (sorry John Lucas, Lawrence Roberts, and Danny Granger). Second, I needed detailed player and team stats from all four years to do this analysis, and my lazy research department was unable to find them for Wayne Simien and Salim Stoudamire.

    So the result is five players that may…


    Field Goal Percentage Difference

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, March 3, 2005

    Back in November, I played around with how the national leaders in various statistics accumulated wins and losses during the 2004 season. One of the statistics that correlated best with winning was field goal percentage difference. You shoot better than your opponents, you win games. It's not a revelation that will rock the foundation of basketball, but it's something worth investigating at the early part of March.

    All other things being equal - namely turnovers, offensive rebounds, and free throws -  the team that shoots better will usually win (the exceptions occuring when three point shooting mucks this up). And those things often are more equal in March than at other times of the year.

    So on the stats page, field goal % difference has been posted for all 330 D1 teams. The stat is simply offensive FG% minus defensive FG%.

    Some observations...

    The highest ranked losing team…


    There’s Nothing To See Here

    Luke Winn has a piece at about three teams that changed personalities this season without a coaching change. It's kind of an extension of the Basketball ShrinkTM I introduced a while back, with the respective coaches trying to explain the changes. This is especially nice because 1) We all get to read something by somebody who took more than just 'Technical Writing' in college, and 2) I can take a day off. It's a win-win, or a win-Winn. Yeah, whatever.

    Over at ESPN, Andy Katz takes a nice stab at some championship week hype. But the discriminating mid-major connoisseur will be over at the midmajority over the next couple of weeks as Kyle documents all the mid-major tournaments in digest form and attends 32 games on his own. Methinks Kyle shouldn't be surprised if at some point during that time the Official WifeTM



    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 2, 2005

    Slowest paced games this season by possesions per 40 minutes (score in parentheses)...

     1 46, 2/4 Princeton(42) at Dartmouth(50) 2 47, 11/20 Princeton(46) at Temple(48) 3 47, 11/15 Air Force(60) vs. Mississippi(36) 4 48, 12/8 Rutgers(40) at Princeton(53) 5 49, 1/31 UNLV(48) at Air Force(64) 

    Fastest paced games this season by possesions per 40 minutes...

     1 93, 1/22 North Carolina A&T(86) at Florida A&M(93) 2 92, 11/23 Mercer(67) at Maryland (93) 3 92, 1/8 Maryland(75) at North Carolina(109) 4 91, 12/24 Houston(63) at Washington(110) 5 89, 12/30 Quinnipiac(71) at Connecticut(123) 

    Best shooting games by a single team this season...

     1 80.0%, 1/24 Air Force(51) at Utah(63) 2 77.8%, 11/27 UC Davis(55) at Utah State(81) 3 69.2%, 2/5 Utah State(80) at UC Santa Barbara(50) 3 69.2%, 1/15 New Mexico(62) at Air Force(64) 5 68.6%, 12/30 Indiana State(69) at Drake(74) 

    Best rebounding games by…


    The Best of Bowlsby

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, March 1, 2005

    Bob Bowlsby 1/3/05 - "[W]e want the RPI to be the best tool possible. We believe this adjustment accomplishes that."

    Bob Bowlsby 2/23/05 - "The committee has talked till we're blue in the face that [the RPI] is just one of many tools. ... But the fact of the matter is it serves a role, it serves an enhanced role now that it's been refined a little bit. I think it's a better tool."

    If the basketball committee chairman believes this RPI is better than before, why would anyone think it will be used less? If a top 30 ranking was sacred before, then it should be even more so now. If teams like Vermont and Miami of Ohio are denied at-large bids should they need them, then we know that Mr. Bowlsby did not truly believe what he said. I can only take him at…


    Page 3 of 3 pages  < 1 2 3