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Wednesday, October 10, 2007

BP is on line!

Basketball Prospectus is officially up. We should have daily Monday-through-Friday content right through the championship game on April 7th, so be sure to make it a daily stop. (And if you couldn’t figure it out, there will be no further posting here.)

Posted on 10/10 at 10:21 AM
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Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Moving On

As many of you noticed, I’m going to be writing somewhere else fairly soon. The good folks at Baseball Prospectus are diving into the college hoops game and generally looking to make all other college basketball coverage irrelevant, so how could I pass that up? It’s going to be a good fit for me and I’m really looking forward to it. Gradually over the next two months, the parts here will be moved over to BP. Other than the new domain, not much is going to change on my end. If anything, my work will be a little more organized and regular. 

Posted on 09/11 at 06:00 AM
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Tuesday, July 31, 2007

What the heck is not going on here?

In an effort to keep my Ripken-eqsue streak of posting at least once a month intact, I thought I would stop by the old blog for an update. Despite the dust collecting around these parts, there is plenty of stuff going on behind the scenes.

John Gasaway and I will be rolling out a season preview sometime in October in a place on the internets that has yet to be determined. The details are still being worked out, but work is being done to provide some unique preparation for the upcoming season. There will be the team-by-team examinations like you are accustomed to from Gasaway with respect to the Big Ten and myself with respect to the Big XII, except we’ll be expanding them to more conferences and teams. Of course, there will be some other interesting content as well.

For instance, with the help of Jacob Wheatley-Schaller, I’ve collected about 2500 play-by-plays from last season. And with this, we can do all sorts of crazy things. Here’s the probability of the home team winning a college hoops game while facing a deficit of 8 points at various times during the game… 

    Time Left    Win%
1st Half 15:00   46.5
         10:00   42.0
          5:00   33.5
      Halftime   26.6
2nd Half 15:00   27.7
         10:00   21.3
          5:00   11.6
          2:00    2.4

That’s just the tip of the iceberg. I can’t give away the good stuff just yet. (Actually, I am still working on it.) Anyway, we’re closer to the start of next season than the end of last season. John and I plan to make that time pass a little faster in a few weeks. 

Posted on 07/31 at 10:00 PM
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