For record-keeping purposes, here’s a list of the predictions for regular-season conference champions based on the simulator’s work at the end of December. Whoever gets the top seed in their conference tournament is considered the conference champ.

So far, Valpo is the biggest longshot to accomplish this at 4%, but Michigan State is likely going to cash in a 1% chance in the Big Ten simulation that was blown up by Wisconsin. And hey, TCU is still technically alive for a one-seed in the Mountain West, where they didn’t win or tie a single pre-conference simulation. I’ll update this as events warrant.

  Murray State (93%) 
  Belmont (93%) 
  Harvard (89%) 
  Iona (75%) 
  Kentucky (73%) 
  Long Beach State (69%)

Wisconsin (66%)

[Michigan State (1%)] 

Lehigh (63%)

[Bucknell (33%)] 

Saint Louis (62%)

[Temple (18%)] 
  UNC Asheville (62%) 
  Davidson (61%) 
  Syracuse (61%) 
  North Carolina (59%) 

VCU (58%)

[Drexel (8%)] 
  Wichita State (58%) 
  Middle Tennessee (55%) 

UNLV (55%)

[San Diego St. (10%)]
  Utah Valley (55%) 

Ohio (54%)

[Akron (7%)]

Cal (53%)

[Washington (4%)] 

Lamar (53%)

[Texas Arlington (24%)] 

Morgan State (52%)

 
  Oral Roberts (51%) 
  Mississippi Valley State (51%) 
  Memphis (50%) 

Cleveland State (50%)

[Valpo (4%)] 

Robert Morris (46%)

[LIU (7%)] 

BYU (39%)

[St. Mary’s (28%)] 

Weber State (37%)

[Montana (31%)]

Vermont (35%)

[Stony Brook (21%)] 
  Kansas (33%)

New Mexico State (32%)

[Nevada (22%)]

  Expected correct: 18.4
  Actual Correct: 17