What follows is the odds for every team in the field of 68 advancing through each round of the NCAA tournament using log5 methodology and my ratings.
Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in 1MW Virginia 96.2 77.9 54.5 34.2 21.4 13.2 8 2MW Michigan St. 92.2 75.0 55.8 32.4 19.8 11.9 8 4MW Iowa St. 75.2 39.0 15.2 6.8 3.0 1.3 79 5MW Purdue 71.4 43.1 18.4 9.0 4.3 2.0 49 6MW Seton Hall 51.4 30.2 11.1 4.0 1.5 0.6 175 3MW Utah 75.2 36.1 12.5 4.2 1.5 0.5 189 11MW Gonzaga 48.6 27.9 9.9 3.4 1.3 0.5 216 10MW Syracuse 54.7 13.3 5.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 770 9MW Butler 50.5 11.0 4.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 941 8MW Texas Tech 49.5 10.6 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 1035 12MW Little Rock 28.6 11.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.06 1678 7MW Dayton 45.3 9.7 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.06 1751 13MW Iona 24.8 6.7 1.3 0.3 0.06 0.01 8116 14MW Fresno St. 24.8 5.8 0.9 0.1 0.02 0.004 27831 15MW Middle Tennessee 7.8 2.1 0.4 0.05 0.007 0.0008 124679 16MW Hampton 3.8 0.5 0.05 0.004 0.0003 <.0001 6010907 Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in 1E North Carolina 95.6 76.6 48.4 32.3 17.6 10.3 10 3E West Virginia 70.1 52.9 34.4 17.5 8.4 4.4 23 4E Kentucky 83.2 51.9 25.8 15.4 7.2 3.7 27 2E Xavier 86.4 55.7 29.5 12.5 5.0 2.2 46 5E Indiana 81.9 40.0 17.3 9.1 3.7 1.6 62 7E Wisconsin 56.2 24.6 10.2 3.2 1.0 0.3 321 14E S. F. Austin 29.9 17.0 7.7 2.4 0.7 0.2 436 6E Notre Dame 55.9 18.0 7.4 2.1 0.5 0.2 638 10E Pittsburgh 43.8 16.7 6.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 906 9E Providence 50.4 11.5 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.08 1196 8E USC 49.6 11.2 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.08 1284 11E Michigan 22.8 6.3 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.03 3286 11E Tulsa 21.3 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.02 4098 13E Stony Brook 16.8 4.6 0.9 0.2 0.03 0.006 16584 12E Chattanooga 18.1 3.5 0.6 0.1 0.02 0.003 39409 15E Weber St. 13.6 3.0 0.5 0.06 0.006 0.0006 154051 16E FCGU 3.6 0.7 0.06 0.008 0.0005 <.0001 2303720 16E F. Dickinson 0.8 0.07 0.004 0.0002 <.0001 <.0001 363773082 Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in 1S Kansas 96.9 75.5 57.4 37.3 26.0 15.4 7 2S Villanova 89.9 63.3 40.3 21.9 13.9 7.3 14 3S Miami FL 86.7 44.8 20.3 8.7 4.5 1.8 55 6S Arizona 51.5 27.7 12.3 5.1 2.6 1.0 98 7S Iowa 76.2 29.9 14.4 5.7 2.8 1.0 98 4S California 68.8 39.3 13.5 5.6 2.6 0.9 107 5S Maryland 72.6 39.9 13.4 5.4 2.5 0.9 115 11S Wichita St. 30.6 17.1 7.9 3.5 1.8 0.7 133 9S Connecticut 65.1 18.0 9.5 3.8 1.7 0.6 175 11S Vanderbilt 17.9 8.5 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 583 8S Colorado 34.9 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.04 2376 13S Hawaii 31.2 12.0 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.04 2790 12S South Dakota St. 27.4 8.8 1.5 0.3 0.08 0.01 7442 10S Temple 23.8 4.5 1.0 0.2 0.04 0.007 14332 15S UNC Asheville 10.1 2.4 0.4 0.05 0.009 0.001 89976 14S Buffalo 13.3 1.9 0.2 0.03 0.004 0.0004 246405 16S Austin Peay 3.1 0.3 0.03 0.002 0.0002 <.0001 13047350 Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in 2W Oklahoma 83.7 61.6 39.8 24.1 11.7 5.5 18 1W Oregon 95.6 65.0 41.5 23.7 10.9 4.9 21 3W Texas A&M 83.6 54.2 28.2 14.9 6.1 2.4 42 4W Duke 72.3 39.9 18.7 8.9 3.3 1.2 85 5W Baylor 60.7 33.5 15.4 7.2 2.6 0.9 112 6W Texas 68.1 31.6 13.6 5.9 1.9 0.6 173 9W Cincinnati 54.5 19.8 9.4 3.9 1.2 0.4 281 10W VCU 58.8 20.9 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.3 351 8W Saint Joseph's 45.5 14.8 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 586 12W Yale 39.3 17.6 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.2 617 7W Oregon St. 41.2 11.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.06 1584 11W Northern Iowa 31.9 9.7 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.02 4347 13W UNC Wilmington 27.7 9.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.02 4701 15W CSU Bakersfield 16.3 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.06 0.009 10573 14W Green Bay 16.4 4.5 0.9 0.2 0.02 0.002 41543 16W Southern 3.0 0.3 0.03 0.003 <.0001 <.0001 25328061 16W Holy Cross 1.4 0.1 0.006 0.0003 <.0001 <.0001 326626540 Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in 1S Kansas 96.9 75.5 57.4 37.3 26.0 15.4 7 1MW Virginia 96.2 77.9 54.5 34.2 21.4 13.2 8 2MW Michigan St. 92.2 75.0 55.8 32.4 19.8 11.9 8 1E North Carolina 95.6 76.6 48.4 32.3 17.6 10.3 10 2S Villanova 89.9 63.3 40.3 21.9 13.9 7.3 14 2W Oklahoma 83.7 61.6 39.8 24.1 11.7 5.5 18 1W Oregon 95.6 65.0 41.5 23.7 10.9 4.9 21 3E West Virginia 70.1 52.9 34.4 17.5 8.4 4.4 23 4E Kentucky 83.2 51.9 25.8 15.4 7.2 3.7 27 3W Texas A&M 83.6 54.2 28.2 14.9 6.1 2.4 42 2E Xavier 86.4 55.7 29.5 12.5 5.0 2.2 46 5MW Purdue 71.4 43.1 18.4 9.0 4.3 2.0 49 3S Miami FL 86.7 44.8 20.3 8.7 4.5 1.8 55 5E Indiana 81.9 40.0 17.3 9.1 3.7 1.6 62 4MW Iowa St. 75.2 39.0 15.2 6.8 3.0 1.3 79 4W Duke 72.3 39.9 18.7 8.9 3.3 1.2 85 6S Arizona 51.5 27.7 12.3 5.1 2.6 1.0 98 7S Iowa 76.2 29.9 14.4 5.7 2.8 1.0 98 4S California 68.8 39.3 13.5 5.6 2.6 0.9 107 5W Baylor 60.7 33.5 15.4 7.2 2.6 0.9 112 5S Maryland 72.6 39.9 13.4 5.4 2.5 0.9 115 11S Wichita St. 30.6 17.1 7.9 3.5 1.8 0.7 133 6W Texas 68.1 31.6 13.6 5.9 1.9 0.6 173 9S Connecticut 65.1 18.0 9.5 3.8 1.7 0.6 175 6MW Seton Hall 51.4 30.2 11.1 4.0 1.5 0.6 175 3MW Utah 75.2 36.1 12.5 4.2 1.5 0.5 189 11MW Gonzaga 48.6 27.9 9.9 3.4 1.3 0.5 216 9W Cincinnati 54.5 19.8 9.4 3.9 1.2 0.4 281 7E Wisconsin 56.2 24.6 10.2 3.2 1.0 0.3 321 10W VCU 58.8 20.9 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.3 351 14E S. F. Austin 29.9 17.0 7.7 2.4 0.7 0.2 436 11S Vanderbilt 17.9 8.5 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 583 8W Saint Joseph's 45.5 14.8 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 586 12W Yale 39.3 17.6 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.2 617 6E Notre Dame 55.9 18.0 7.4 2.1 0.5 0.2 638 10MW Syracuse 54.7 13.3 5.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 770 10E Pittsburgh 43.8 16.7 6.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 906 9MW Butler 50.5 11.0 4.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 941 8MW Texas Tech 49.5 10.6 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 1035 9E Providence 50.4 11.5 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.08 1196 8E USC 49.6 11.2 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.08 1284 7W Oregon St. 41.2 11.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.06 1584 12MW Little Rock 28.6 11.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.06 1678 7MW Dayton 45.3 9.7 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.06 1751 8S Colorado 34.9 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.04 2376 13S Hawaii 31.2 12.0 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.04 2790 11E Michigan 22.8 6.3 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.03 3286 11E Tulsa 21.3 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.02 4098 11W Northern Iowa 31.9 9.7 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.02 4347 13W UNC Wilmington 27.7 9.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.02 4701 12S South Dakota St. 27.4 8.8 1.5 0.3 0.08 0.01 7442 13MW Iona 24.8 6.7 1.3 0.3 0.06 0.01 8116 15W CSU Bakersfield 16.3 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.06 0.009 10573 10S Temple 23.8 4.5 1.0 0.2 0.04 0.007 14332 13E Stony Brook 16.8 4.6 0.9 0.2 0.03 0.006 16584 14MW Fresno St. 24.8 5.8 0.9 0.1 0.02 0.004 27831 12E Chattanooga 18.1 3.5 0.6 0.1 0.02 0.003 39409 14W Green Bay 16.4 4.5 0.9 0.2 0.02 0.002 41543 15S UNC Asheville 10.1 2.4 0.4 0.05 0.009 0.001 89976 15MW Middle Tennessee 7.8 2.1 0.4 0.05 0.007 0.0008 124679 15E Weber St. 13.6 3.0 0.5 0.06 0.006 0.0006 154051 14S Buffalo 13.3 1.9 0.2 0.03 0.004 0.0004 246405 16E FCGU 3.6 0.7 0.06 0.008 0.0005 <.0001 2303720 16MW Hampton 3.8 0.5 0.05 0.004 0.0003 <.0001 6010907 16S Austin Peay 3.1 0.3 0.03 0.002 0.0002 <.0001 13047350 16W Southern 3.0 0.3 0.03 0.003 <.0001 <.0001 25328061 16W Holy Cross 1.4 0.1 0.006 0.0003 <.0001 <.0001 326626540 16E F. Dickinson 0.8 0.07 0.004 0.0002 <.0001 <.0001 363773082