Here at kenpom.com, we care deeply about how well our predictions do. It’s one thing to say you’ve picked 76% of winners, but that’s a meaningless statistic, especially in a sport with as many mismatches as college hoops. That’s why this season we are tracking the performance of our forecasts. Eventually, we’ll use this information […]

The ACC/Big Ten Challenge commences tonight with Virginia at Minnesota and continues the next two nights with five games apiece. For the first time I can remember, the Big Ten is considered a heavy favorite to win the 11-game series. If you go game by game, you can easily come to the conclusion the Big […]

As I am sure you noticed, I posted the predicted win distributions on each of the team pages for both overall wins (based on games listed on the schedule portion) and conference wins. They give the percent chance of a team finishing with a specific number of wins based on the current ratings. Much thanks […]

The final moments of Wednesday’s BYU/Utah State produced a controversial call in a close game. With a little over two minutes to go in a three-point game, Verne Harris called an intentional foul on Utah State scoring machine Tai Wesley for swinging his elbows and making contact with an opponent. I’m not sure whether the […]

There have been two common concerns regarding the pre-season ratings that need to be addressed. The first deals with what happens to them now that games are being played. Currently, the pre-season ratings hold the weight of a little less than five games of play. This figure was selected somewhat arbitrarily, but in doing some […]

I’ve made a few changes to the site, which I hope to be improvements. The most obvious thing is that I’m not starting with zeroes for every team this season. Each team has a pre-season guess for adjusted efficiencies and pace. Details on the system are in the book, which makes a great Thanksgiving present. […]

I have a lot of respect for anyone that compiles a pre-season ranking. For that reason, I rarely make judgments (at least publicly) on the many lists that start popping up around now. It is pretty easy to defend a wide variety of opinions on any one team. At this time last season, if you […]

The Big Ten appears to be winning the pre-season campaign for the mostly-meaningless title of “best conference” this season. They are expected to have a strong upper tier and even in terms of overall conference strength, the Big Ten may reign supreme. The conference figures to have a weak back end, but the perennial champ […]

The following is a list of transfers eligible for the upcoming season. These only include transfers whose most recent school was D-I. Thanks to kenpom.com head researcher Nic Reiner-Parra for putting this together. Drop me a line if someone needs to be added, removed, or changed. Name Pos Ht/Wt Year To From Quincy Diggs F […]

Let’s continue the countdown of the least likely victories from the past season… #5 The Game: Austin Peay at Akron, November 15. The Situation: Akron 72, Austin Peay 57, 7:36 left, Austin Peay ball. (1.6%) The Outcome: Austin Peay 80, Akron 77 The Quote: “First off, when you’re up 15 points with 7:36 to play, […]