Periodically during the season, I get an e-mail from somebody that says they’d like to help out the operation here. Last week, my hard drive died and with it went a bunch of e-mails I had saved from people like that. If you’re the type who’s willing to do data-entry type work for a few […]

First order of business: Can anything be learned from the meeting on December 23rd (HD box), a 26-point Florida win? Yes and no. Oden wasn’t Oden yet, and the runaway margin likely wouldn’t have happened in Columbus. Still, there are some basic concepts to keep in mind. For starters, if Ohio State shoots 40% on […]

A breakdown of the Final Four, looking at a not-so-random strength and weakness of each team. Ohio State Strength: Oden. If you don’t think Greg Oden is the most dominant player in the college game, you’re just not thinking. Luke Winn has documented the plus/minus data on Oden, but that’s only half the story. As […]

I know content has been, um, lame this week. I’ll break down the Final Four teams tomorrow. In the meantime, I thought I’d share the breakdown of 2-point jumper percentage vs. 3-point percentage in the tournament. So far, I’ve been able to create 42 HD boxes during the tournament. The following is the aggregated data […]

We have a pretty even field set for Atlanta, even though three of the four teams in this group defy the adage that defense wins championships. Log5 odds: Finals Champs Florida 54.0 28.5 Ohio St. 50.1 24.6 G’town 49.9 24.4 UCLA 46.0 22.4

The UNC/Georgetown game is so awesome on so many levels. One of those levels is the respective paces of each team – UNC ranks 9th fastest and Georgetown 9th slowest in the nation in adjusted tempo. And of course we’ll hear over and over from the CBS personnel how the team that controls the tempo […]

The chance of all four #1 seeds winning their Elite 8 games is 17.7%. I’ll keep you posted. Final4 Finals Champs 1 UNC 63.6 42.2 24.7 1 Kansas 63.2 38.9 22.0 1 Florida 75.6 37.1 18.8 1 Ohio St. 58.2 24.3 11.0 2 G’town 36.4 19.3 8.7 2 UCLA 36.8 18.1 7.8 2 Memphis 41.8 […]

Anybody remember Tennessee’s Josh Tabb making a three-pointer last night? He was officially credited with Chris Lofton’s first 3-ball. Thus, Lofton officially finished with 24 points when he should have had 27. [Update: Tabb hit a 3 later in the first half which was credited to Lofton. So it’s all good, I guess.] And yeah, […]

These aren’t going to change your life, but they are interesting nonetheless: – A tipster pointed out that the Texas A&M assist rate might be due in part to a friendly home scorer’s table (related article). Actually, there’s amazing evidence to that effect. I just looked at the Big XII foes that A&M plays a […]

Don’t fall into the trap that Texas A&M is led by their defense. The story with the Aggies is how incredible its offense is, especially considering how far it has come. For the moment let’s ignore history and look at the facts in efficiency terms. A&M’s offense is just as good as its defense, but […]