I’m using my ratings and Bill James’ log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Ohio Valley Conference Location: Nashville (Municipal Auditorium) Dates: March 5-8 Chance of bid thief: zero Current kPOY: J.J. Mann, Belmont Projections: Qtrs Semis Final Champ 1 Belmont 100 100 […]

I’m using my ratings and Bill James’ log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Big South Location: Coastal Carolina Dates: March 5, 7-9 Chance of bid thief: zero Current kPOY: John Brown, High Point Projections: Qtrs Semis Final Champ 1S C. Carolina 100 […]

I’m using my ratings and Bill James’ log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Horizon League Location: First round at higher seed, quarters/semis at Green Bay, finals at higher seed Dates: March 4, 7, 8, 11 Chance of bid thief: 5% (?) Current […]

I’m using my ratings and Bill James’ log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Atlantic Sun Location: All games at higher seed Dates: March 4, 6, 9 Chance of bid thief: zero Current kPOY: Langston Hall, Mercer Projections: Semis Final Champ 2 Mercer […]

I’m using my ratings and Bill James’ log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Patriot League Location: All games at higher seed Dates: March 3, 5, 8, 12 Chance of bid thief: zero Current kPOY: Maurice Watson, Boston U. Projections: Qtrs Semis Final […]

This is a weekly digest documenting the biggest upsets, craziest comebacks, and Alan Williams news of the past seven days. Note: This is the final Week in Review for the season. Conference tourneys start on Monday and future content will focus on that. Thanks to everyone for reading. Biggest upsets 3. Tennessee State 70, Morehead […]

One of the best things in college hoops is the seemingly impossible chase for a perfect record. I like it so much, I chronicle how many teams keep that dream alive as the season progresses (Collect ‘em all) knowing full well that number will eventually reach zero, usually long before March. While some claim a […]

You might think the title of this post should be “How much is Brandon Ashley’s absence hurting Arizona” because we can watch and see that Arizona is not as good without Brandon Ashley. I mean, they are playing without Brandon Ashley, for crying out loud. Most of the minutes formerly going to the 6-8, 230 […]

This is a weekly digest documenting the biggest upsets, craziest comebacks, and Alan Williams news of the past seven days. Biggest upsets 3. Arkansas Pine Bluff 64, Southern 58, Saturday. (7%) Southern was 21-2 in home SWAC games under Roman Banks coming into this one. But UAPB was rolling into Baton Rouge on a four-game […]

The Villanova/Creighton game yesterday was a demonstration of trade-offs. In their first matchup, Jay Wright elected to play what has become normal Villanova defense during his tenure. In a gross oversimplification, this involves taking away the paint and hoping his opponent missed three-point shots. Creighton made 21-of-35 attempts and scored a whopping 1.45 points per […]