This season’s preseason rankings included a better prediction for a team’s pace that was primarily based on the head coach’s history. The prediction used up to five seasons of a coach’s past to project tempo for this season. In the case of new head coaches, the model just regressed the team’s previous season pretty heavily […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, January 8th and Thursday, January 14th… Biggest upsets 1) #343 Bradley 54, #229 Loyola Chicago 53 [60] (10%), Wednesday. There was only one major upset this week and that’s fine with me because the Bradley Braves deserve some attention. Specifically, the Braves […]

Home-court advantage is important in college basketball – even though it may be at an all-time low – but too often it gets ignored. I suspect we have the RPI to blame for this. The RPI doesn’t include venue in its strength of schedule calculation, and more profoundly, encourages users to look at a team’s […]

I’m on record as supporting mid-season firings. That’s a horrible way to put it, but there are clearly times where removing the head coach in mid-season can have benefits, and the case of UNLV firing – technically he wasn’t fired but work with me – Dave Rice on Sunday night is one of those. Rice […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, January 1st and Thursday, January 7th… Biggest upsets 2) #246 Youngstown State 100, #73 Oakland 98 [87 possessions] (9%), Monday. As long as Greg Kampe is coaching Oakland, the Grizzlies’ games will be fun. Kampe’s resume is the perfect combo of orange, […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, December 19th and Thursday, December 31st… Biggest upsets 3) #341 Southeast Missouri State 78, #206 Missouri St. 74 (10%), Tuesday 12/22. This wasn’t one of those upsets that grabs headlines. Missouri State has won just three games against D-I teams so far. […]