Monthly Archives: October 2015

2016 preseason ratings

Preseason ratings were posted over the weekend. Here’s a reminder as to what goes into them… The components and weighting is based on a regression of the past nine seasons. The system is, by 2015 standards, pretty simple. It doesn’t try to project playing time for individual players. It doesn’t know about transfers, and all […]

This is part of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. A description of the methodology is here. The thing the offense has the least control over is whether its 2-point shot is blocked. The offense has […]

This is part of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. A description of the methodology is here. We’ve previously talked about non-steal turnovers in this series, in which the offense had 59% influence. Forcing steals is […]

This is part of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. A description of the methodology is here. Thad Matta’s teams do a lot of things well but the thing his teams have done best is not […]