FanMatchTM 
| Game | Prediction | Time (ET) | Location | Thrill Score |
Come back |
Excite ment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Gonzaga 69, 17 Oklahoma St. 68 [58] MVP: Kevin Pangos (23p/4r/5a/2s) |
Oklahoma St. 66-64 (59%) | box win prob | Stillwater, OK Gallagher Iba Arena | 75.21 | 3 | 2.16 |
| 10 Minnesota 76, 18 Michigan St. 63 [66] B10 MVP: Andre Hollins (22p/2r/6a/2b) |
Minnesota 67-61 (72%) | box win prob | Minneapolis, MN Williams Arena | 66.92 | 5 | 1.86 |
| 1 Indiana 69, 44 Iowa 65 [75] B10 MVP: Cody Zeller (19p/10r/1a/1b/1s) |
Indiana 78-69 (79%) | box win prob | Iowa City, IA Carver Hawkeye Arena | 63.53 | 5 | 0.51 |
| 39 Saint Louis 60, 38 New Mexico 46 [66] MVP: Cory Remekun (15p/3r/1a/3b/1s) |
Saint Louis 62-59 (64%) | box win prob | St. Louis, MO Chaifetz Arena | 62.34 | 3 | 0.49 |
| 19 Cincinnati 70, 6 Pittsburgh 61 [62] BE MVP: Sean Kilpatrick (16p/4r/2b) |
Pittsburgh 65-56 (81%) | box win prob | Pittsburgh, PA Petersen Events Center | 58.35 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 65 Saint Joseph's 63, 120 Drexel 49 [60] MVP: C.J. Aiken (19p/8r/2a/6b/1s) |
Saint Joseph's 64-63 (54%) | box win prob | Philadelphia, PA Daskalakis Athletic Center | 51.56 | 8 | 0.84 |
| 83 Denver 50, 107 UT Arlington 35 [53] WAC MVP: Nate Engesser (14p) |
UT Arlington 59-58 (56%) | box win prob | Arlington, TX College Park Center | 49.07 | 4 | 0.82 |
| 96 Iona 93, 80 St. Bonaventure 74 [74] MVP: Sean Armand (27p/5r/5a/1b/2s) |
St. Bonaventure 83-76 (70%) | box win prob | St. Bonaventure, NY Reilly Center | 48.68 | 3 | 1.29 |
| 45 Saint Mary's 70, 87 Harvard 69 [61] MVP: Mitchell Young (16p/8r/2a) |
Saint Mary's 76-67 (79%) | box win prob | Moraga, CA McKeon Pavilion | 44.19 | 18·33· | 1.55 |
| 102 Louisiana Tech 81, 123 New Mexico St. 72 [71] WAC MVP: Alex Hamilton (20p/1r/3a/1s) |
Louisiana Tech 71-66 (69%) | box win prob | Ruston, LA Thomas Assembly Center | 41.710 | 1 | 1.52 |
| 128 College of Charleston 85, 242 Marist 75 [72] MVP: Andrew Lawrence (22p/5r/4a/1s) |
College of Charleston 64-61 (63%) | box win prob | Poughkeepsie, NY McCann Center | 33.511 | 2 | 0.98 |
| 130 Utah St. 81, 265 Texas St. 57 [68] WAC MVP: Spencer Butterfield (18p/6r/9a/1s) |
Utah St. 76-71 (69%) | box win prob | San Marcos, TX Strahan Coliseum | 31.412 | 3 | 0.01 |
| 213 San Jose St. 80, 215 UTSA 67 [60] WAC MVP: Chris Cunningham (19p/8r/3a/1b) |
UTSA 68-64 (64%) | box win prob | San Antonio, TX UTSA Convocation Center | 31.413 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 307 Jacksonville 53, 246 Northern Kentucky 51 [56] ASun MVP: Jarvis Haywood (8p/9r/5a/1b) |
Northern Kentucky 66-65 (55%) | box win prob | Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville Veterans Memorial | 28.814 | 5 | 2.46 |
| 135 Delaware 73, 211 Rider 66 [69] MVP: Jamelle Hagins (14p/16r/3b) |
Delaware 73-65 (77%) | box win prob | Newark, DE Bob Carpenter Center | 28.215 | 6 | 1.55 |
| 313 Fairleigh Dickinson 79, 344 Longwood 71 [75] MVP: Kinu Rochford (32p/11r/2a/1b) |
Fairleigh Dickinson 79-76 (60%) | box win prob | Farmville, VA Willett Hall | 28.216 | 6 | 0.77 |
| 341 Nebraska Omaha 77, 300 UMKC 65 [72] Sum MVP: C.J. Carter (26p/4r/4a) |
UMKC 72-68 (63%) | box win prob | Ralston, NE Ralston Sports & Event Center | 26.117 | 1 | 0.77 |
| 35 Oregon 56, 164 Nevada 43 [65] MVP: Carlos Emory (13p/7r/1a/2b/1s) |
Oregon 82-66 (91%) | box win prob | Eugene, OR Matthew Knight Arena | 26.018 | 0 | -0.09 |
| 187 North Florida 84, 244 Lipscomb 70 [71] ASun MVP: Travis Wallace (24p/8r/3a/1b) |
North Florida 76-68 (76%) | box win prob | Jacksonville, FL UNF Arena | 25.919 | 6 | 1.88 |
| 203 Jacksonville St. 64, 320 Tennessee Martin 54 [63] OVC MVP: Tarvin Gaines (23p/5r/1b/3s) |
Jacksonville St. 65-60 (71%) | box win prob | Martin, TN Skyhawk Arena | 24.120 | 2 | 0.31 |
| 64 Temple 75, 190 Bowling Green 57 [66] MVP: A`uston Calhoun (22p/9r/1s) |
Temple 69-57 (88%) | box win prob | Philadelphia, PA Liacouras Center | 23.421 | 2 | -0.22 |
| 40 Middle Tennessee 75, 177 North Texas 57 [64] SB MVP: Tony Mitchell (13p/11r/2a/2b/2s) |
Middle Tennessee 73-58 (91%) | box win prob | Murfreesboro, TN Murphy Athletic Center | 23.222 | 0 | -0.21 |
| 248 Fordham 82, 301 Monmouth 71 [73] MVP: Bryan Smith (18p/5r/5a/2s) |
Fordham 77-68 (78%) | box win prob | New York, NY Rose Hill Gym | 21.323 | 7 | 1.49 |
| 144 Mercer 70, 263 Stetson 64 [67] ASun MVP: Travis Smith (25p/1r/2a/1s) |
Mercer 74-62 (85%) | box win prob | Macon, GA University Center | 19.124 | 5 | 1.20 |
| 206 Army 95, 337 Houston Baptist 86 [80] MVP: Ella Ellis (26p/3r/2a) |
Army 73-63 (81%) | box win prob | Houston, TX Sharp Gymnasium | 18.525 | 6 | 0.84 |
| 181 Albany 57, 277 Brown 50 [64] MVP: Luke Devlin (15p/2r/1s) |
Albany 69-59 (84%) | box win prob | Guilderland, NY SEFCU Arena | 18.426 | 4 | 1.31 |
| 8 Syracuse 96, 207 Central Connecticut 62 [77] MVP: Michael Carter-Williams (18p/9r/13a/2s) |
Syracuse 90-63 (98%) | box win prob | Syracuse, NY Carrier Dome | 17.627 | 3 | -0.52 |
| 240 Texas Tech 70, 325 Florida A&M 56 [78] MVP: Josh Gray (10p/2r/4a/1b/4s) |
Texas Tech 84-70 (86%) | box win prob | Lubbock, TX United Spirit Arena | 16.628 | 8 | 0.27 |
| 116 Florida Gulf Coast 68, 326 Kennesaw St. 59 [63] ASun MVP: Sherwood Brown (19p/5r/2a/2s) |
Florida Gulf Coast 72-60 (86%) | box win prob | Kennesaw, GA KSU Convocation Center | 16.529 | 5 | 0.20 |
| 166 Boston College 79, 291 Dartmouth 58 [62] MVP: Joe Rahon (24p/3r/5a/1s) |
Boston College 67-56 (87%) | box win prob | Chestnut Hill, MA Conte Forum | 15.630 | 6 | 0.25 |
| 27 N.C. State 89, 261 UNC Greensboro 68 [69] MVP: Lorenzo Brown (15p/3r/9a/1b/3s) |
N.C. State 100-72 (97%) | box win prob | Raleigh, NC PNC Arena | 15.031 | 3 | -0.46 |
| 317 Liberty 63, 196 Western Carolina 62 [67] MVP: Trey Sumler (23p/3r/4a/3s) |
Western Carolina 75-61 (89%) | box win prob | Cullowhee, NC Ramsey Center | 14.232 | 4 | 2.49 |
| 48 Kansas St. 70, 256 South Dakota 50 [66] MVP: Nino Williams (16p/7r/1a) |
Kansas St. 81-60 (96%) | box win prob | Manhattan, KS Fred Bramlage Coliseum | 14.033 | 0 | -0.40 |
| 112 Oregon St. 84, 322 Texas Pan American 59 [65] MVP: Joe Burton (18p/10r/7a/1s) |
Oregon St. 81-61 (95%) | box win prob | Corvallis, OR Gill Coliseum | 10.834 | 0 | -0.48 |
| 330 Chicago St. 58, 153 Toledo 53 [60] MVP: Jamere Dismukes (19p/4r/3a/3s) |
Toledo 80-60 (95%) | box win prob | Toledo, OH Savage Arena | 10.135 | 8 | 0.97 |
| 75 Oklahoma 72, 318 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 42 [67] MVP: Amath M`Baye (14p/6r/1a/1b/1s) |
Oklahoma 78-56 (97%) | box win prob | Norman, OK Lloyd Noble Center | 9.736 | 0 | -0.56 |
| 284 Central Arkansas 107, Central Baptist 82 [84] MVP: Jarvis Garner (38p/11r/4a/1s) |
box | Conway, AR Farris Center | 0.037 | |||
| 193 Northwestern St. 102, LeTourneau 52 [79] MVP: Jalan West (13p/3r/3a/4s) |
box | Natchitoches, LA Prather Coliseum | 0.037 | |||
| 155 Elon 84, Manchester 49 [71] MVP: Ryley Beaumont (11p/12r/3a/1b/2s) |
box | Elon, NC Alumni Gym | 0.037 | |||
| 63 Southern Miss 89, William Carey 59 [74] MVP: Jonathan Mills (19p/11r/1a/1b/2s) |
box | Hattiesburg, MS Reed Green Coliseum | 0.037 | |||
| Lines o' the night: | ||||||
| 1. Kinu Rochford, Fairleigh Dickinson • 32 pts (12-13 2's, 8-11 FT's) • 11 Rebs • 2 Assists • 1 Blk | ||||||
| 2. Joe Rahon, Boston College • 24 pts (1-2 2's, 6-6 3's, 4-4 FT's) • 5 Assists • 3 Rebs • 1 Stl | ||||||
| Note: Rankings shown for each team are for the date the game was played | ||||||
| Mean absolute error of predicted margin of victory today: 8.2 • Record of favorites today: 27-9 (expected: 28-8) • Exact MOV was predicted in 1 of 36 games | ||||||
| Mean absolute error of predicted total score today: 14.5 • Bias of predicted total score: +3.7 • Model Diagnostics | ||||||
| Today's stats (D-I vs D-I only): Points per game: 66.8 • Average efficiency: 99.9 • Possessions per 40 minutes: 66.8 | ||||||