FanMatchTM

for Monday, December 31st
12/30 01/01
Game Prediction   Location Thrill
Score
Come
back
Excite
ment
14 Gonzaga 69, 17 Oklahoma St. 68 [58]
MVP: Kevin Pangos (23p/4r/5a/2s)
Oklahoma St. 66-64 (59%) box
win prob
Stillwater, OK
Gallagher Iba Arena
75.2
1
18.6%
 
2.26
 
10 Minnesota 76, 18 Michigan St. 63 [66]
MVP: Andre Hollins (22p/2r/6a/2b)
Minnesota 67-61 (72%) box
win prob
Minneapolis, MN
Williams Arena
66.9
2
33.4%
 
1.82
 
1 Indiana 69, 44 Iowa 65 [75]
MVP: Cody Zeller (19p/10r/1a/1b/1s)
Indiana 78-69 (79%) box
win prob
Iowa City, IA
Carver Hawkeye Arena
63.5
3
71.6%
 
1.92
 
39 Saint Louis 60, 38 New Mexico 46 [66]
MVP: Cory Remekun (15p/3r/1a/3b/1s)
Saint Louis 62-59 (64%) box
win prob
St. Louis, MO
Chaifetz Arena
62.3
4
52.3%
 
-0.12
 
19 Cincinnati 70, 6 Pittsburgh 61 [62]
MVP: Sean Kilpatrick (16p/4r/2b)
Pittsburgh 65-56 (81%) box
win prob
Pittsburgh, PA
Petersen Events Center
58.3
5
7.4%
 
1.21
 
65 Saint Joseph's 63, 120 Drexel 49 [60]
MVP: C.J. Aiken (19p/8r/2a/6b/1s)
Saint Joseph's 64-63 (54%) box
win prob
Philadelphia, PA
Daskalakis Athletic Center
51.5
6
32.1%
 
0.59
 
83 Denver 50, 107 UT Arlington 35 [53]
MVP: Nate Engesser (14p)
UT Arlington 59-58 (56%) box
win prob
Arlington, TX
College Park Center
49.0
7
30.5%
 
0.38
 
96 Iona 93, 80 St. Bonaventure 74 [74]
MVP: Sean Armand (27p/5r/5a/1b/2s)
St. Bonaventure 83-76 (70%) box
win prob
St. Bonaventure, NY
Reilly Center
48.6
8
24.6%
 
0.82
 
45 Saint Mary's 70, 87 Harvard 69 [61]
MVP: Mitchell Young (16p/8r/2a)
Saint Mary's 76-67 (79%) box
win prob
Moraga, CA
McKeon Pavilion
44.1
9
5.0%
 
0.58
 
102 Louisiana Tech 81, 123 New Mexico St. 72 [71]
MVP: Alex Hamilton (20p/1r/3a/1s)
Louisiana Tech 71-66 (69%) box
win prob
Ruston, LA
Thomas Assembly Center
41.7
10
61.5%
 
1.29
 
128 College of Charleston 85, 242 Marist 75 [72]
MVP: Andrew Lawrence (22p/5r/4a/1s)
College of Charleston 64-61 (63%) box
win prob
Poughkeepsie, NY
McCann Center
33.5
11
58.4%
 
1.48
 
130 Utah St. 81, 265 Texas St. 57 [68]
MVP: Spencer Butterfield (18p/6r/9a/1s)
Utah St. 76-71 (69%) box
win prob
San Marcos, TX
Strahan Coliseum
31.4
12
71.5%
 
0.33
 
213 San Jose St. 80, 215 UTSA 67 [60]
MVP: Chris Cunningham (19p/8r/3a/1b)
UTSA 68-64 (64%) box
win prob
San Antonio, TX
UTSA Convocation Center
31.4
13
33.5%
 
1.02
 
307 Jacksonville 53, 246 Northern Kentucky 51 [56]
MVP: Jarvis Haywood (8p/9r/5a/1b)
Northern Kentucky 66-65 (55%) box
win prob
Jacksonville, FL
Jacksonville Veterans Memorial
28.8
14
20.3%
 
2.00
 
135 Delaware 73, 211 Rider 66 [69]
MVP: Jamelle Hagins (14p/16r/3b)
Delaware 73-65 (77%) box
win prob
Newark, DE
Bob Carpenter Center
28.2
15
62.8%
 
1.73
 
313 Fairleigh Dickinson 79, 344 Longwood 71 [75]
MVP: Kinu Rochford (32p/11r/2a/1b)
Fairleigh Dickinson 79-76 (60%) box
win prob
Farmville, VA
Willett Hall
28.2
16
49.6%
 
0.83
 
341 Nebraska Omaha 77, 300 UMKC 65 [72]
MVP: C.J. Carter (26p/4r/4a)
UMKC 72-68 (63%) box
win prob
Ralston, NE
Ralston Sports & Event Center
26.1
17
28.7%
 
-0.33
 
35 Oregon 56, 164 Nevada 43 [65]
MVP: Carlos Emory (13p/7r/1a/2b/1s)
Oregon 82-66 (91%) box
win prob
Eugene, OR
Matthew Knight Arena
26.0
18
89.0%
 
0.06
 
187 North Florida 84, 244 Lipscomb 70 [71]
MVP: Travis Wallace (24p/8r/3a/1b)
North Florida 76-68 (76%) box
win prob
Jacksonville, FL
UNF Arena
25.9
19
43.8%
 
1.80
 
203 Jacksonville St. 64, 320 Tennessee Martin 54 [63]
MVP: Tarvin Gaines (23p/5r/1b/3s)
Jacksonville St. 65-60 (71%) box
win prob
Martin, TN
Skyhawk Arena
24.1
20
66.8%
 
0.71
 
64 Temple 75, 190 Bowling Green 57 [66]
MVP: A`uston Calhoun (22p/9r/1s)
Temple 69-57 (88%) box
win prob
Philadelphia, PA
Liacouras Center
23.4
21
86.6%
 
-0.25
 
40 Middle Tennessee 75, 177 North Texas 57 [64]
MVP: Tony Mitchell (13p/11r/2a/2b/2s)
Middle Tennessee 73-58 (91%) box
win prob
Murfreesboro, TN
Murphy Athletic Center
23.2
22
89.4%
 
-0.01
 
248 Fordham 82, 301 Monmouth 71 [73]
MVP: Bryan Smith (18p/5r/5a/2s)
Fordham 77-68 (78%) box
win prob
New York, NY
Rose Hill Gym
21.3
23
39.3%
 
1.30
 
144 Mercer 70, 263 Stetson 64 [67]
MVP: Travis Smith (25p/1r/2a/1s)
Mercer 74-62 (85%) box
win prob
Macon, GA
University Center
19.1
24
74.6%
 
1.84
 
206 Army 95, 337 Houston Baptist 86 [80]
MVP: Ella Ellis (26p/3r/2a)
Army 73-63 (81%) box
win prob
Houston, TX
Sharp Gymnasium
18.5
25
57.6%
 
1.53
 
181 Albany 57, 277 Brown 50 [64]
MVP: Luke Devlin (15p/2r/1s)
Albany 69-59 (84%) box
win prob
Guilderland, NY
SEFCU Arena
18.4
26
68.7%
 
1.60
 
8 Syracuse 96, 207 Central Connecticut 62 [77]
MVP: Michael Carter-Williams (18p/9r/13a/2s)
Syracuse 90-63 (98%) box
win prob
Syracuse, NY
Carrier Dome
17.6
27
96.9%
 
0.01
 
240 Texas Tech 70, 325 Florida A&M 56 [78]
MVP: Josh Gray (10p/2r/4a/1b/4s)
Texas Tech 84-70 (86%) box
win prob
Lubbock, TX
United Spirit Arena
16.6
28
78.4%
 
0.50
 
116 Florida Gulf Coast 68, 326 Kennesaw St. 59 [63]
MVP: Sherwood Brown (19p/5r/2a/2s)
Florida Gulf Coast 72-60 (86%) box
win prob
Kennesaw, GA
KSU Convocation Center
16.5
29
63.2%
 
1.13
 
166 Boston College 79, 291 Dartmouth 58 [62]
MVP: Joe Rahon (24p/3r/5a/1s)
Boston College 67-56 (87%) box
win prob
Chestnut Hill, MA
Conte Forum
15.6
30
72.0%
 
0.12
 
27 North Carolina St. 89, 261 UNC Greensboro 68 [69]
MVP: Lorenzo Brown (15p/3r/9a/1b/3s)
North Carolina St. 100-72 (97%) box
win prob
Raleigh, NC
PNC Arena
15.0
31
96.0%
 
0.35
 
317 Liberty 63, 196 Western Carolina 62 [67]
MVP: Trey Sumler (23p/3r/4a/3s)
Western Carolina 75-61 (89%) box
win prob
Cullowhee, NC
Ramsey Center
14.2
32
0.4%
·8·
2.56
 
48 Kansas St. 70, 256 South Dakota 50 [66]
MVP: Nino Williams (16p/7r/1a)
Kansas St. 81-60 (96%) box
win prob
Manhattan, KS
Fred Bramlage Coliseum
14.0
33
95.6%
 
0.22
 
112 Oregon St. 84, 322 Texas Pan American 59 [65]
MVP: Joe Burton (18p/10r/7a/1s)
Oregon St. 81-61 (95%) box
win prob
Corvallis, OR
Gill Coliseum
10.8
34
96.2%
 
-0.26
 
330 Chicago St. 58, 153 Toledo 53 [60]
MVP: Jamere Dismukes (19p/4r/3a/3s)
Toledo 80-60 (95%) box
win prob
Toledo, OH
Savage Arena
10.1
35
2.5%
·91·
2.22
 
75 Oklahoma 72, 318 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 42 [67]
MVP: Amath M`Baye (14p/6r/1a/1b/1s)
Oklahoma 78-56 (97%) box
win prob
Norman, OK
Lloyd Noble Center
9.7
36
97.2%
 
-0.52
 
284 Central Arkansas 107, NR Central Baptist 82 [84]
MVP: Jarvis Garner (38p/11r/4a/1s)
box
 
Conway, AR
Farris Center
0.0
37
 
 
 
 
193 Northwestern St. 102, NR LeTourneau 52 [79]
MVP: Jalan West (13p/3r/3a/4s)
box
 
Natchitoches, LA
Prather Coliseum
0.0
37
 
 
 
 
155 Elon 84, NR Manchester 49 [71]
MVP: Ryley Beaumont (11p/12r/3a/1b/2s)
box
 
Elon, NC
Alumni Gym
0.0
37
 
 
 
 
63 Southern Miss 89, NR William Carey 59 [74]
MVP: Jonathan Mills (19p/11r/1a/1b/2s)
box
 
Hattiesburg, MS
Reed Green Coliseum
0.0
37
 
 
 
 
Lines o' the night:
1. Kinu Rochford, Fairleigh Dickinson • 32 pts (12-13 2's, 8-11 FT's) • 11 Rebs • 2 Assists • 1 Blk
2. Joe Rahon, Boston College • 24 pts (1-2 2's, 6-6 3's, 4-4 FT's) • 5 Assists • 3 Rebs • 1 Stl
Note: Rankings shown for each team are for the date the game was played
Mean absolute error of predicted margin of victory today: 8.2 • Record of favorites today: 27-9 (expected: 28-8) • Exact MOV was predicted in 1 of 36 games
Mean absolute error of predicted total score today: 14.5 • Bias of predicted total score: +3.7
Today's stats (D-I vs D-I only): Points per game: 66.8 • Average efficiency: 99.9 • Possessions per 40 minutes: 66.8