{"id":596,"date":"2007-03-19T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-03-19T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/tracking-the-doomsday-scenario\/"},"modified":"2007-03-19T05:00:00","modified_gmt":"2007-03-19T11:00:00","slug":"tracking-the-doomsday-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/tracking-the-doomsday-scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"Tracking the Doomsday Scenario"},"content":{"rendered":"

Here are the odds on our 16-team tourney courtesy of Mr. Picklesimer. <\/p>\n

– The chance of all four #1’s making it to Atlanta (my Doomsday Scenario) is up to 9%. If that happens, I’m not sure how I would cope. It’s comforting to know it’s still a longshot.
\n– The “Cinderella’s Revenge” Final Four of UNLV, Southern Illinois, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee has a .0009% chance of happening.
\n– Thanks to the Xavier scare and the relative improvement of the other three teams in their region, Ohio State’s chance at the national title has actually decreased despite winning twice.
\n– Kansas has become the team with the best chance to win it all.
\n– The chance of Maarty hoisting the trophy is over 1% now, although that doesn’t account for fate which is clearly on Maarty’s side. <\/p>\n

                     elite8  final4  finals   champ <\/b>\nMidwest<\/b>\n1 Florida             78.83   62.56   32.83   17.00 \n5 Butler              21.17   10.82    2.63    0.61 \n3 Oregon              61.41   18.29    4.87    1.24 \n7 UNLV                38.59    8.33    1.58    0.28 \n       \nWest<\/b>\n1 Kansas              84.20   58.85   39.08   22.71 \n4 Southern Illinois   15.80    4.88    1.47    0.32 \n3 Pittsburgh          37.32   11.05    4.45    1.37 \n2 UCLA                62.68   25.23   13.10    5.53 \n      \nEast<\/b>\n1 North Carolina      84.26   56.69   37.08   22.21 \n5 USC                 15.74    4.71    1.26    0.30 \n6 Vanderbilt          20.41    3.76    0.88    0.18 \n2 Georgetown          79.59   34.83   18.66    8.97 \n      \nSouth<\/b>\n1 Ohio St.            77.89   42.95   19.69    9.57 \n5 Tennessee           22.11    5.76    1.18    0.27 \n3 Texas A&M           59.11   32.41   14.42    6.81 \n2 Memphis             40.89   18.88    6.82    2.64 <\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Here are the odds on our 16-team tourney courtesy of Mr. Picklesimer. – The chance of all four #1’s making it to Atlanta (my Doomsday Scenario) is up to 9%. If that happens, I’m not sure how I would cope. It’s comforting to know it’s still a longshot. – The “Cinderella’s Revenge” Final Four of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/596"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/596\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}