{"id":529,"date":"2010-12-15T07:00:03","date_gmt":"2010-12-15T13:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/introducing-the-kpoy\/"},"modified":"2010-12-15T07:00:03","modified_gmt":"2010-12-15T13:00:03","slug":"introducing-the-kpoy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/introducing-the-kpoy\/","title":{"rendered":"Introducing the kPOY"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The only frustration of following college hoops is that it\u2019s impossible to follow everything. And I don\u2019t like trusting The Man to tell me what I\u2019ve missed, because The Man is missing stuff, too. That premise is the basis for this site, and it&#8217;s also the basis for America&#8217;s newest player of the year award.<\/p>\n<p>In the effort to produce something more objective than currently exists, I\u2019m introducing the first annual kenpom Player of the Year. Of course, it\u2019s not completely objective &#8211; nothing is &#8211; but my intentions are pure. I\u2019ve taken the work that I did to produce pre-season ratings and applied it here. <\/p>\n<p>To refresh: In order to determine the impact of departing players, a player&#8217;s minutes were weighted by the amount of value they provided to the team. On offense, I used a combination a player\u2019s offensive rating and his possessions used, which was valued relative to his team\u2019s offensive rating. On defense, I used the proportion of his team\u2019s Dean Oliver-formulated stops that he was responsible for.<\/p>\n<p>The beauty of this method is that both the offensive and defensive value of a player are captured in a way that correlates with team improvement. The drawback is that it\u2019s difficult to measure defensive value. But the work on the preseason ratings indicates that the &#8220;stops method&#8221; is better than ignoring defense altogether, and that\u2019s a start.<\/p>\n<p>Valuing minutes in this way accounts for a player\u2019s value relative to his teammates, but this isn\u2019t exactly what we\u2019d like to know. It&#8217;s also important that the player is contributing to some sort of team success. This where the more subjective part comes into play, and I have thrown in a dash of team strength based on my ratings. OK, more than a dash. We don\u2019t want Vlad Moldoveanu winning this thing! There\u2019s enough team influence such that it\u2019s hard to win the award if your team is not in the top ten and nearly impossible if it\u2019s not in the top 20.<\/p>\n<p>I will also admit I got a bit of inspiration from the Heisman Trophy. The thing I like most about the Heisman has nothing to do with the award itself, but that after the trophy has been awarded, a list of the<a href=\"http:\/\/heismanpundit.com\/2010\/12\/11\/cameron-newton-wins-the-76th-heisman-trophy\/\"> top ten vote-getters is released<\/a> which provides a who\u2019s who for the sport. I don\u2019t know of a college player of the year award that does that. I suppose you could say the all-American teams accomplish that, but to me it\u2019s not the same. So in the kPOY, the top ten players will be revealed. <\/p>\n<p>The kPOY is not meant to predict who will win the Naismith or Wooden awards. This is a standalone honor designed to identify the most valuable player in the game, free of reputation, future potential, or amount of times the player appears on Big Monday. I\u2019ll track the candidates every week until tourney time, and then we\u2019ll have a season-ending awards ceremony two days after the title game. (Yes, the kPOY will be the one award that includes NCAA tournament play. About time.)<\/p>\n<p><b>Standings based on data through 12\/12\/10<\/b><\/p>\n<p><u><\/u><\/p>\n<p><b>1. Terrence Jones, Kentucky.<\/b> (Rating of .510) One of two freshmen on this list, Jones has solid offensive numbers, but has also posted high marks in blocks, steals, and defensive rebounding.<\/p>\n<p><b>2. Jon Leuer, Wisconsin.<\/b> (.504) Leuer\u2019s position here may be temporary due to his 48% clip from three-point range which one might guess will drop. Nonetheless, this is a good demonstration that unlike the national media, the kPOY does not discriminate against players on ridiculously slow-paced teams.<\/p>\n<p><b>3. Jared Sullinger, Ohio State.<\/b> (.481) Sullinger dropped a 40 on IUPUI, but it was only IUPUI. And a good chunk of that occurred with the Jaguars\u2019 only big man on the bench with foul trouble. Nonetheless, the early money is on Sullinger to win this. <\/p>\n<p><b>4. Jimmer Fredette, BYU.<\/b> (.464) Fredette makes a high number of twos and is a deadly high-volume shooter from three. Even if you trash his defense, there\u2019s still a lot value there. Of note is that Fredette is getting to the free-throw line significantly less than last season, when he would have finished third had the kPOY existed.<\/p>\n<p><b>5. Kemba Walker, UConn.<\/b> (.444) Walker has the stats to match up with anybody, but right now the wide gulf between the kenpom rating and the perception of the mainstream media is keeping him this low. <\/p>\n<p><b>6. Kawhi Leonard, San Diego State.<\/b> (.430) This doesn\u2019t count Monday\u2019s narrow win of Cal Poly (although it wasn\u2019t <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=1591\">that narrow<\/a>) in which Leonard didn\u2019t play. That&#8217;s significant because playing time is accounted for and thus time missed hurts a player in the kPOY, despite the fact that in this case it merely affirmed Leonard\u2019s value to the Aztecs.<\/p>\n<p><b>7. Derrick Williams, Arizona.<\/b> (.427) Williams\u2019 stock took a hit with an invisible second half against BYU. Not only did Williams\u2019 stats suffer, but the beating by the Cougars dealt a blow to Arizona\u2019s team rating.<\/p>\n<p><b>8. E\u2019Twaun Moore, Purdue.<\/b> (.401) Nothing seems to be pretty about the Purdue offense, but Moore is continuing to put up fantastic numbers even without Robbie Hummel to distract defenses. <\/p>\n<p> <b>9. Nolan Smith, Duke.<\/b> (.384) There\u2019s no Kyrie Irving on this list, partly because Irving\u2019s first two DNP\u2019s are factored in, but also because he was getting some of the John Wall treatment. He\u2019s a fast point guard that\u2019s on TV a lot who will be a great pro. But like DeMarcus Cousins at Kentucky, Smith has been more productive than his flashier teammate.<\/p>\n<p><b>10. Brad Wanamaker, Pitt.<\/b> (.381) This is what the kPOY is all about. Wanamaker\u2019s not going to win it, but his spot here allows me to note his impressive journey from a freshman who barely played (and when he did was rather awful) to a senior who is quietly having a very productive season. Yay for four-year players! If he wins, I\u2019ll name the trophy after him.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The only frustration of following college hoops is that it\u2019s impossible to follow everything. And I don\u2019t like trusting The Man to tell me what I\u2019ve missed, because The Man is missing stuff, too. That premise is the basis for this site, and it&#8217;s also the basis for America&#8217;s newest player of the year award. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/529"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/529\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}