The news from Monday night was that the Sun Belt title game on Tuesday will be between fifth-seeded North Texas and seventh-seeded Western Kentucky, a game that had a 1-in-159 chance of occurring before the tourney started. The winner will have had no better than a 4.1% chance of winning the automatic bid, thus setting a new standard for improbability this week. <\/p>\n
Western Carolina becomes a championship week footnote after coming painstakingly close to knocking off Davidson in the SoCon final. The Catamounts had but a 1.1% chance of winning the title. Alas, they fell in double OT.<\/p>\n
These are the last four conferences that need analysis. <\/p>\n
Pac-12 Conference<\/b> Atlantic Coast Conference<\/b> Southeastern Conference<\/b> Big Ten Conference<\/b> The news from Monday night was that the Sun Belt title game on Tuesday will be between fifth-seeded North Texas and seventh-seeded Western Kentucky, a game that had a 1-in-159 chance of occurring before the tourney started. The winner will have had no better than a 4.1% chance of winning the automatic bid, thus setting […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n“UCLA: The Cinderella Story”
\nMarch 7-10
\nAll games at Los Angeles, CA (UCLA\/USC get half home court advantage)<\/p>\n Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n 2 California 100 69.3 48.6 32.3\n 5 UCLA 90.1 48.3 30.2 14.9\n 4 Arizona 100 50.6 28.8 12.7\n 1 Washington 100 63.0 29.2 12.2\n 3 Oregon 100 63.3 24.3 12.2\n 7 Stanford 87.8 29.9 16.4 8.0\n 6 Colorado 92.8 36.3 10.5 3.9\n 9 Oregon St. 59.7 24.2 8.3 2.8\n 8 Wash. St. 40.3 12.7 3.3 0.9\n12 USC 9.9 1.1 0.2 0.02\n10 Arizona St. 12.2 0.8 0.1 0.01\n11 Utah 7.2 0.3 0.01 0.0006\n<\/pre>\n
\n“Boston College demands to host it next season”
\nMarch 8-11
\nAll games at Atlanta, GA (Georgia Tech gets home court advantage, not that it matters)<\/p>\n Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n 1 North Carolina 100 94.2 71.8 52.2\n 2 Duke 100 77.0 48.2 19.8\n 4 Virginia 100 67.3 20.6 10.4\n 3 Florida State 100 63.0 29.9 9.9\n 6 Miami FL 82.9 34.8 13.9 3.7\n 5 N.C. State 90.6 32.2 6.6 2.4\n 7 Clemson 56.5 14.1 5.1 1.0\n10 Virginia Tech 43.5 8.9 2.7 0.4\n 8 Maryland 64.6 4.4 0.9 0.2\n11 Georgia Tech 17.1 2.2 0.3 0.02\n 9 Wake Forest 35.4 1.4 0.2 0.02\n12 Boston Coll. 9.4 0.5 0.02 0.0009\n<\/pre>\n
\n“Tennessee, how’d you get that two-seed?”
\nMarch 8-11
\nAll games at New Orleans, LA<\/p>\n Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n 1 Kentucky 100 95.0 79.1 68.7\n 3 Vanderbilt 100 76.1 54.1 13.3\n 4 Florida 100 60.1 12.8 7.8\n 5 Alabama 85.7 38.2 7.0 3.9\n 2 Tennessee 100 65.0 25.5 3.7\n 7 Ole Miss 66.7 26.7 8.2 0.9\n 6 Miss. St. 61.1 16.5 7.9 0.9\n11 Georgia 38.9 7.4 2.8 0.2\n 8 LSU 54.9 2.9 0.7 0.2\n 9 Arkansas 45.1 2.0 0.4 0.1\n10 Auburn 33.3 8.3 1.5 0.09\n12 S. Carolina 14.3 1.7 0.08 0.01\n<\/pre>\n
\n“Where the title game has no impact on seeding”
\nMarch 8-11
\nAll games at Indianapolis, IN (Indiana gets half home-court advantage)<\/p>\n Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n 3 Ohio St. 100 81.5 66.1 37.2\n 1 Michigan St. 100 89.0 48.0 27.2\n 5 Indiana 93.5 54.1 29.3 16.5\n 4 Wisconsin 100 45.3 21.2 10.4\n 2 Michigan 100 67.7 18.9 5.1\n 6 Purdue 86.0 17.9 9.7 2.5\n 7 Northwestern 52.1 17.3 2.9 0.5\n10 Minnesota 47.9 15.0 2.4 0.4\n 9 Illinois 56.4 6.8 1.0 0.2\n 8 Iowa 43.6 4.2 0.5 0.07\n12 Penn St. 6.5 0.6 0.1 0.01\n11 Nebraska 14.0 0.6 0.1 0.005\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"