Hot off the presses, we have the log5 analysis for the 16 remaining teams. These teams comprised 81% of the title-winning chances before the tourney started, up from 69% last season, indicating that this year’s group was more expected than last season’s. (Pre-tournament chances are indicated in the ‘Prev’ column.) Michigan State received nearly 6% of the 19% the losers left behind, primarily due to surviving the gauntlet that was their round-of-32 game. <\/p>\n
This obviously doesn’t account for injuries, but I have a feeling UNC’s chances aren’t that far off. They have the enormous benefit of getting to play the weakest team remaining in the field in their first game. Beating Ohio is not certain, of course, but just getting to play them is the best-case scenario if you’re trying to figure out how to play basketball without a point guard.<\/p>\n
(Corrected Final\/Champ odds on 3\/21 to account for proper FInal Four matchups. -kp)<\/i><\/p>\n Hot off the presses, we have the log5 analysis for the 16 remaining teams. These teams comprised 81% of the title-winning chances before the tourney started, up from 69% last season, indicating that this year’s group was more expected than last season’s. (Pre-tournament chances are indicated in the ‘Prev’ column.) Michigan State received nearly 6% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/418"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=418"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/418\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} Elite8 Final4 Final Champ Prev 1 in…\n 1S Kentucky 71.7 56.9 36.2 21.5 19.7 5\n 2E Ohio St. 82.9 52.7 34.1 20.1 19.3 5\n 1W Michigan St 76.4 54.8 31.6 17.7 12.4 6\n 2MW Kansas 80.4 46.3 21.3 10.2 9.1 10\n 1MW N. Carolina 84.9 45.5 19.8 9.0 6.6 11\n 4E Wisconsin 52.5 23.0 12.2 5.7 4.2 18\n 1E Syracuse 47.5 19.8 10.0 4.5 4.4 22\n 4S Indiana 28.3 17.2 7.2 2.7 0.5 37\n 3S Baylor 72.6 21.9 8.2 2.7 1.7 37\n 7W Florida 52.9 19.0 7.2 2.5 1.7 40\n 3W Marquette 47.1 15.8 5.6 1.8 0.9 55\n 4W Louisville 23.6 10.4 3.3 0.9 0.5 106\n 6E Cincinnati 17.1 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.2 321\n11MW N.C. State 19.6 5.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 531\n 10S Xavier 27.4 4.0 0.8 0.1 0.04 835\n13MW Ohio 15.1 2.9 0.4 0.05 0.01 1965\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"