If you ask yourself one day, \u201cWho\u2019s the best defensive rebounder in the country?\u201d, what do you do? Well, you click over to the Kenpom defensive rebounding percentage leaderboards. The guy who\u2019s first isn\u2019t necessarily the answer, but even with some serious teammate and opponent troubles, it\u2019s tough for that top guy to escape the top ten or fifteen. If you ask yourself, \u201cWho\u2019s the best shotblocker?\u201d, the same is true. There\u2019s a statistic built to answer that specific question.<\/p>\n
So what statistic answers the question, \u201cWho\u2019s the best three-point shooter in the country?\u201d<\/p>\n
Well, it\u2019s not three-point percentage. Let\u2019s set the bar at, say, a minimum of 100 three-point attempts, and look at last season\u2019s three-point percentage leaders.<\/p>\n
1. Jordan Burgason, Lipscomb (71-135, 53%)
\n2. Joe Ragland, Wichita State (59-117, 50%)
\n3. Jordan Hulls, Indiana (72-146, 49%)
\n4. Tyler Murray, Wagner (74-151, 49%)
\n5. Brendon Lavender, Arizona (55-113, 49%)
\n6. Doug McDermott, Creighton (54-111, 49%)
\n7. Nick Barbour, High Point (108-223, 48%)
\n8. Drew Hanlen, Belmont (94-195, 48%)
\n9. Gary Bell, Gonzaga (51-107, 48%)
\n10. Mardracus Wade, Arkansas (70-147, 48%)<\/p>\n
I mean, obviously it\u2019s not terrible<\/em>, or anything. As long as you put in some kind of attempts floor, you\u2019ll find something semi-reasonable. My point is more that three-point percentage isn\u2019t built to find the best three-point shooters, in the same way that pure field goal percentage doesn\u2019t give you the best scorers in the country.<\/p>\n So I made up a stat that does: Three-Point Score (3PS). <\/p>\n We divide up every possession with the player on the floor into three categories: Made threes, missed threes, and everything else. Then we give the player credit for three points when he makes a three, 0.3 points (the likelihood of getting an offensive rebound, 30%, times the expected points per possession, 1.00) for a missed three, and one point for any other possession with the player on the floor. That\u2019s it. The formula looks like this:<\/p>\n <\/p>\n It basically gives you the offensive rating for a completely average team, considering that the player in question shot and made threes at the frequency he did.<\/p>\n So here\u2019s the Top 10 from last season in 3PS among players who played at least 60% of their teams\u2019 minutes:<\/p>\n 1. Nick Barbour, High Point (1.084) And here\u2019s that same list, adjusting for schedule (by dividing 3PS by the SOSD found on each team\u2019s Kenpom page):<\/p>\n 1. John Jenkins, Vanderbilt (1.108) Which is actually a pretty reasonable list of the best shooters in America last season, although Canaan gets beat up bad by the schedule adjustment.<\/p>\n It works identically for two-point percentage, with the only change being that you give the player two points for a make now. Here\u2019s the schedule-adjusted top 10 for 2012:<\/p>\n 1. Anthony Davis, Kentucky (1.095) Which also looks pretty good as a list of the most effective scorers in the country inside the arc – though people often fold drawing fouls and making free throws into that conversation, as Drummond’s inclusion here makes abundantly clear.<\/p>\n We took a step in the right direction in separating two-point shooting from three-point shooting. There’s no reason we can’t take another step, weighting volume and efficiency together.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" If you ask yourself one day, \u201cWho\u2019s the best defensive rebounder in the country?\u201d, what do you do? Well, you click over to the Kenpom defensive rebounding percentage leaderboards. The guy who\u2019s first isn\u2019t necessarily the answer, but even with some serious teammate and opponent troubles, it\u2019s tough for that top guy to escape the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/403"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=403"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/403\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1044,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/403\/revisions\/1044"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} 3*3PM + 0.3*(3PA \u2013 3PM) + (TmPoss*%Min \u2013 3PA)\n3PS = -------------------------------------------------\n TmPoss*%Min\n<\/pre>\n
\n2. John Jenkins, Vanderbilt (1.078)
\n3. Reggie Chamberlain, UMKC (1.072)
\n4. Brian Sullivan, Miami OH (1.070)
\n5. Keaton Cole, Western Carolina (1.070)
\n6. Brady Heslip, Baylor (1.068)
\n7. Parker Smith, North Florida (1.066)
\n8. Drew Hanlen, Belmont (1.062)
\n9. Isaiah Canaan, Murray State (1.062)
\n10. Kris Davis, SIU Edwardsville (1.062)<\/p>\n
\n2. Kenny Boynton, Florida (1.100)
\n3. Brady Heslip, Baylor (1.097)
\n4. Keiton Page, Oklahoma State (1.088)
\n5. John Shurna, Northwestern (1.087)
\n6. Jordan Hulls, Indiana (1.084)
\n7. Ryne Smith, Purdue (1.083)
\n8. Doron Lamb, Kentucky (1.077)
\n9. Darius Johnson-Odom, Marquette (1.073)
\n10. Kam Cerroni, Green Bay (1.072)<\/p>\n
\n2. Doug McDermott, Creighton (1.088)
\n3. Kevin Jones, West Virginia (1.086)
\n4. Thomas Robinson, Kansas (1.084)
\n5. Deshaun Thomas, Ohio State (1.083)
\n6. Jae Crowder, Marquette (1.080)
\n7. Rodney Williams, Minnesota (1.076)
\n8. Jared Sullinger, Ohio State (1.075)
\n9. Otto Porter, Georgetown (1.073)
\n10. Andre Drummond, Connecticut (1.073)<\/p>\n