{"id":380,"date":"2012-11-16T01:47:19","date_gmt":"2012-11-16T07:47:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/the-day-after-11-15-12\/"},"modified":"2012-11-16T01:47:19","modified_gmt":"2012-11-16T07:47:19","slug":"the-day-after-11-15-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/the-day-after-11-15-12\/","title":{"rendered":"The Day After: 11.15.12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Most appealing game (according to FanMatch<sup>TM<\/sup>):<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=411\">Purdue vs. Villanova<\/a>. Eight point deficits with 1:29 remaining are rarely turned into wins, but the Wildcats turned a 70-62 game into a 75-75 tie to force overtime. Of course, it helps to have a four-point possession, and after a controversial, if technically correct, Flagrant 1 call on D.J. Byrd with 48 seconds left, that&#8217;s what Villanova got. That possession alone was worth a 30% bump to the Wildcats&#8217; chances. &#8216;Nova went 10-of-10 from the line in the closing stretch of regulation, then closed out the OT for an 89-81 [87 poss] win.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Major upsets (&lt;15% win probability):<\/strong> Gardner Webb (12%) went to Allstate Arena and crushed DePaul, <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=404\">71-59<\/a> [65]. The Runnin&#8217; Bulldogs led wire-to-wire and by as much as 18 in the second half, inducing a full seven minutes of garbage time to end the game. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Crazy comebacks (&lt;3% win probability):<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=411\">Villanova (1.0%) over Purdue<\/a>. Villanova was technically at its most dead when they were down seven with 1:02 to go. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Unbeatens remaining:<\/strong> 121 (19 fewer than yesterday). It was a tough day for the unbeatens, but UMass went to 2-0 after Terrell Vinson&#8217;s tip-in in traffic gave the Minutemen its second-consecutive last-possession win, <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=389\">77-75<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Winless teams remaining:<\/strong> 66 (8 fewer than yesterday). Put Drexel in the hard-luck winless club. They&#8217;re 0-2 with two overtime losses, including last night&#8217;s surprisingly high-scoring <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=382\">86-84<\/a> [80] loss to Illinois State. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Other notable events:<\/strong> Isaiah Canaan welcomed himself back to our collective conscience by scoring 26 points in 26 minutes as Murray State routed Auburn, <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=393\">79-59<\/a> [71]. He used 38% of the Racers&#8217; possessions when he was on the floor. I&#8217;m guessing a figure like that won&#8217;t be all that unusual for Canaan this season.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Today\u2019s top game:<\/strong> Saint Joseph&#8217;s and Notre Dame tangle in the nightcap of the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic at roughly 9:30 ET.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Most appealing game (according to FanMatchTM): Purdue vs. Villanova. Eight point deficits with 1:29 remaining are rarely turned into wins, but the Wildcats turned a 70-62 game into a 75-75 tie to force overtime. Of course, it helps to have a four-point possession, and after a controversial, if technically correct, Flagrant 1 call on D.J. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}