{"id":376,"date":"2012-11-18T02:18:10","date_gmt":"2012-11-18T08:18:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/the-day-after-11-17-12\/"},"modified":"2012-11-18T02:18:10","modified_gmt":"2012-11-18T08:18:10","slug":"the-day-after-11-17-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/the-day-after-11-17-12\/","title":{"rendered":"The Day After: 11.17.12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Most appealing game (according to FanMatch<sup>TM<\/sup>):<\/strong> Florida State vs. Saint Joseph\u2019s. The Seminoles\u2019 offensive ways continue and after a 73-66 [65 poss] win over the Hawks, FSU\u2019s offense officially ranks better than its defense. Over a full season, this has only happened once in Leonard Hamilton\u2019s previous ten years in Tallahassee. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Major upsets (&lt;15% win probability):<\/strong> Illinois-Chicago (13%) pulled off the kind of victory that makes one question the unexpected nature of it. The Flames torched Mercer in the Paradise Jam by a score of 62-36. However, in their respective conference\u2019s preseason polls, Mercer was picked to win the Atlantic Sun and UIC was picked for second-to-last in the Horizon, so it\u2019s more than just my computer that sees this outcome, let alone the score, as unusual.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Crazy comebacks (&lt;3% win probability):<\/strong> It was a night of comebacks across the country, but the only one that qualifies here took place in Hempstead, New York. South Dakota State faced a <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=490\">five-point deficit<\/a> to Marshall with 20 seconds remaining. Consecutive three-pointers sandwiched around a missed one-and-one from Chris Martin gave the Jackrabbits the improbable victory (2.3%). <\/p>\n<p><strong>Unbeatens remaining:<\/strong> 89 (14 fewer than yesterday). Belated congratulations to Saint Peter\u2019s (3-0), who continued its inevitable assault on \u201976 Indiana with a <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=459\">68-64 [67] win<\/a> over Cornell on Friday night. Notably, Peacocks\u2019 senior Blaise Ffrench, after 1,100 minutes as a D-I point guard made his first three-pointer, and later, his second. Special times are brewing in Jersey City. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Winless teams remaining:<\/strong> 44 (11 fewer than yesterday). <\/p>\n<p><strong>Other notable events:<\/strong> Both Iowa and Pitt narrowly avoided being the victims of major upsets. The Hawkeyes dug a <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=528\">23-point deficit<\/a> to Gardner-Webb in the first half, falling behind 38-15. They would outscore the Bulldogs 50-18 the rest of the way to win 65-56 [67]. Pitt trailed Oakland by as many as 18 in the second half and still <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=508\">by seven with 1:07 to go<\/a>, but were able to force overtime when James Robinson picked Duke Mondy\u2019s pocket and sunk the free throws that resulted from the subsequent foul. The Panthers prevailed 72-62 [68], avoiding what would have been the upset of the season thus far, and are now free to obsess over Wednesday\u2019s showdown with Michigan. But that wasn\u2019t all! Montana <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=539\">erased a 15-point deficit over the final 13 minutes<\/a> to win at Idaho 66-63 [64]. Washington and Seton Hall both <a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/winprob.php?g=518\">gave away commanding positions<\/a> before the Huskies prevailed in overtime, 84-73 [74]&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p><strong>Today\u2019s top game:<\/strong> Belmont is on its way to Anchorage, but first they take on Chasson Randle and Stanford in Maples Pavilion at 9 ET. This is the time the Bruins justify the computers. I can feel it. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Most appealing game (according to FanMatchTM): Florida State vs. Saint Joseph\u2019s. The Seminoles\u2019 offensive ways continue and after a 73-66 [65 poss] win over the Hawks, FSU\u2019s offense officially ranks better than its defense. Over a full season, this has only happened once in Leonard Hamilton\u2019s previous ten years in Tallahassee. Major upsets (&lt;15% win [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/376"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=376"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/376\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=376"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=376"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=376"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}