{"id":323,"date":"2013-03-04T11:50:02","date_gmt":"2013-03-04T17:50:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/big-south-log5-3\/"},"modified":"2013-03-04T11:50:02","modified_gmt":"2013-03-04T17:50:02","slug":"big-south-log5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/big-south-log5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Big South log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>March 5, 7, 9, 10 at Coastal Carolina<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>All-kenpom:<\/strong> Jeremy Atkinson, UNC Asheville (kPOY); Anthony Raffa, Coastal Carolina; Saah Nimley, Charleston Southern; John Brown, High Point; Donta Harper, Gardner-Webb.<\/p>\n<p>The expansion of the Big South resulted in the conference splitting into divisions, which as is typical, has led to some stupid results regarding tournament seeding. VMI, despite an 8-8 record playing in the much easier North Division, gets a first-round bye. Even with that status, the Keydets will be an underdog in their first game. Five of the six highest-rated teams in the conference exist in the South, and the top four options for a title come from that side of the conference table.<\/p>\n<p>All games are played in the shiny new HTC Center, which gives Coastal a bit of a boost in these calculations. Barclay Radebaugh and his runnin\u2019, three-point shootin\u2019 Charleston Southern Buccaneers are the low-probability favorite here.<\/p>\n<p>Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chancesis.com\/2010\/10\/03\/the-origins-of-log5\/ \">Here\u2019s more than you want to know.<\/a> <\/p>\n<pre>                    Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n1S Char Southern     100  77.2  50.5  31.6\n2S Gardner Webb      100  82.5  46.0  23.4\n4S Coastal Carolina 81.2  46.9  25.8  14.1\n3S UNC Asheville    91.1  57.6  29.6  13.3\n1N High Point        100  47.5  22.6  10.6\n2N VMI               100  40.4  11.0   3.5\n3N Campbell         69.1  14.3   3.6   0.7\n4N Radford          41.3   7.9   2.7   0.5\n5N Liberty          18.8   5.6   1.6   0.5\n5S Winthrop         58.7  14.9   6.1   1.8\n6S Presbyterian     30.9   3.2   0.5   0.06\n6N Longwood          8.9   2.0   0.2   0.02\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March 5, 7, 9, 10 at Coastal Carolina All-kenpom: Jeremy Atkinson, UNC Asheville (kPOY); Anthony Raffa, Coastal Carolina; Saah Nimley, Charleston Southern; John Brown, High Point; Donta Harper, Gardner-Webb. The expansion of the Big South resulted in the conference splitting into divisions, which as is typical, has led to some stupid results regarding tournament seeding. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=323"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}