{"id":321,"date":"2013-03-04T15:10:42","date_gmt":"2013-03-04T21:10:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/atlantic-sun-log5-3\/"},"modified":"2013-03-04T15:10:42","modified_gmt":"2013-03-04T21:10:42","slug":"atlantic-sun-log5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/atlantic-sun-log5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Atlantic Sun log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>March 6-9 at Mercer.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>All-kenpom:<\/strong> Torrey Craig, USC Upstate (kPOY); Bernard Thompson, Florida Gulf Coast; Sherwood Brown, Florida Gulf Coast; Travis Smith, Mercer; Eshuante Jones, Northern Kentucky.<\/p>\n<p>Mercer was the predetermined host and rightfully so being the longest-tenured member of a conference that features nearly annual membership changes. However, it works out well here since the Bears are also the top seed. The defending CIT champs won\u2019t get a chance to defend their title since it will either be the big dance or the NIT now. It\u2019s hard to believe USC Upstate was in my top 100 preseason. Their 9-9 mark in conference, including losing six of eight to close the season, has been disappointing, but they could provide a compelling test for Mercer in the semis. Kudos to Northern Kentucky, who in their first season in the conference went 9-9 and place Eshuante Jones on the A-Sun all-kenpom team. They weren\u2019t invited to play in the conference tourney while they go through the D-I reclassifying process.<\/p>\n<p>Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chancesis.com\/2010\/10\/03\/the-origins-of-log5\/\">Here\u2019s more than you want to know<\/a>. <\/p>\n<pre>                   Semis Final Champ\n1 Mercer            91.2  75.6  56.4\n2 Fla. Gulf Coast   77.6  60.2  25.5\n5 USC Upstate       71.1  17.7   8.0\n3 Stetson           74.1  24.3   5.6\n7 North Florida     22.4  11.4   2.3\n4 Jacksonville      28.9   3.8   1.0\n8 Lipscomb           8.8   3.0   0.8\n6 E. Tenn. St.      25.9   4.0   0.4\n<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March 6-9 at Mercer. All-kenpom: Torrey Craig, USC Upstate (kPOY); Bernard Thompson, Florida Gulf Coast; Sherwood Brown, Florida Gulf Coast; Travis Smith, Mercer; Eshuante Jones, Northern Kentucky. Mercer was the predetermined host and rightfully so being the longest-tenured member of a conference that features nearly annual membership changes. However, it works out well here since [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}