{"id":318,"date":"2013-03-05T11:30:32","date_gmt":"2013-03-05T17:30:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/ovc-log5-3\/"},"modified":"2013-03-05T11:30:32","modified_gmt":"2013-03-05T17:30:32","slug":"ovc-log5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/ovc-log5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"OVC log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>March 6-9 at Nashville, Tenn.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>All-kenpom:<\/strong> Kerron Johnson, Belmont (kPOY); Ian Clark, Belmont; Isaiah Canaan, Murray State; Trevor Noack, Belmont; J.J. Mann, Belmont.<\/p>\n<p>Belmont dominates the all-kenpom team and not surprisingly, they dominated the conference. Well, I suppose it was a small surprise that Murray State lost six games in conference and ended up finishing with the third-best record, even despite handing Belmont one of its two losses. But because of the divisional set-up, the Racers still get the two-seed by virtue of winning the West Division. Eastern Kentucky actually finished two games better &#8211; and against a tougher conference schedule &#8211; and still end up having the second-best chance of winning despite having to play one more game than Murray to do it. Belmont\u2019s given half of a home-court advantage here what with their campus being a ten-minute drive from the Nashville Municipal Auditorium. It appears they\u2019ll be the biggest favorite in any conference tournament this season.<\/p>\n<p>Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chancesis.com\/2010\/10\/03\/the-origins-of-log5\/\">Here\u2019s more than you want to know<\/a>.<\/p>\n<pre>                   Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n1 Belmont           100   100  90.8  76.6\n3 E. Kentucky       100  78.8  48.3  11.5\n2 Murray St.        100   100  45.2   7.8\n4 Tennessee St.     100  64.5   6.7   2.7\n5 Morehead St.     84.9  33.9   2.4   0.7\n6 SE Missouri St.  62.1  15.0   5.0   0.5\n7 E. Illinois      37.9   6.2   1.5   0.1\n8 UT Martin        15.1   1.6   0.1   0.008\n<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March 6-9 at Nashville, Tenn. All-kenpom: Kerron Johnson, Belmont (kPOY); Ian Clark, Belmont; Isaiah Canaan, Murray State; Trevor Noack, Belmont; J.J. Mann, Belmont. Belmont dominates the all-kenpom team and not surprisingly, they dominated the conference. Well, I suppose it was a small surprise that Murray State lost six games in conference and ended up finishing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}