{"id":304,"date":"2013-03-12T09:00:40","date_gmt":"2013-03-12T15:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/mountain-west-log5-3\/"},"modified":"2013-03-12T09:00:40","modified_gmt":"2013-03-12T15:00:40","slug":"mountain-west-log5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/mountain-west-log5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Mountain West log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>March 12-13, 15-16 at UNLV.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>All-kenpom:<\/strong> Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State (kPOY); Colton Iverson, Colorado State; Anthony Bennett, UNLV; Derrick Marks, Boise State; Alex Kirk, New Mexico.<\/p>\n<p>With four fairly equal teams at the top of the Mountain West, this is the kind of tournament where the magical hand of home-court advantage can make a big difference. If the UNLV faithful wants to go all-in for its team, the opportunity is there. Anthony Bennett and company haven\u2019t met the preseason expectations of some, and they are just coming off a home loss to Fresno State so it\u2019s not like anyone is necessarily scared of the Rebels. I\u2019m giving UNLV full home-court advantage here, because they\u2019re, you know, playing on their home court. But tournament play may reduce that a bit. Either way, if you have to pick a favorite for this event, UNLV should be it even if it means they\u2019ll fail to win it seven out of ten times.<\/p>\n<p>Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chancesis.com\/2010\/10\/03\/the-origins-of-log5\/\">Here\u2019s more than you want to know<\/a>.<\/p>\n<pre>               Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n3 UNLV          100  80.6  50.4  31.3\n2 Colorado St.  100  75.6  37.4  20.6\n1 New Mexico    100  77.9  37.6  17.0\n4 San Diego St. 100  53.2  32.4  16.2\n5 Boise St.     100  46.8  23.9   9.6\n6 Air Force     100  19.4   6.5   2.2\n7 Fresno St.    100  24.4   5.6   1.7\n8 Wyoming      61.5  16.5   5.2   1.3\n9 Nevada       38.5   5.7   1.0   0.1\n<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March 12-13, 15-16 at UNLV. All-kenpom: Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State (kPOY); Colton Iverson, Colorado State; Anthony Bennett, UNLV; Derrick Marks, Boise State; Alex Kirk, New Mexico. With four fairly equal teams at the top of the Mountain West, this is the kind of tournament where the magical hand of home-court advantage can make a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=304"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}