{"id":302,"date":"2013-03-12T10:30:25","date_gmt":"2013-03-12T16:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/big-12-log5-3\/"},"modified":"2013-03-12T10:30:25","modified_gmt":"2013-03-12T16:30:25","slug":"big-12-log5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/big-12-log5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Big 12 log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>March 13-16. All games at Kansas City, Mo.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>All-kenpom:<\/strong> Marcus Smart, Oklahoma State (kPOY); Jeff Withey, Kansas; Ben McLemore, Kansas; Pierre Jackson, Baylor; Romero Osby, Oklahoma.<\/p>\n<p>As is customary in this event, Kansas is a convincing favorite. The Jayhawks have won five tournaments during the previous eight years of sharing or outright winning the regular-season Big 12 title. The two through six seeds are good enough to give the Jayhawks some competition, so Kansas\u2019 chances of winning aren\u2019t much better than a coin flip. Because the bottom four teams are quite a bit worse than the rest of the conference, there was a nice bonus for the teams the got the top two-seeds. So even though Kansas State and Iowa State are roughly equal in skill, the Wildcats\u2019 chances of winning the title are significantly better.<\/p>\n<p>Kansas gets half of a home-court share in this analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Numbers listed are the probabilities of a team advancing to each round. Unfamiliar with log5? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chancesis.com\/2010\/10\/03\/the-origins-of-log5\/\">Here\u2019s more than you want to know<\/a>.<\/p>\n<pre>               Qtrs Semis Final Champ\n 1 Kansas       100  93.5  73.3  54.2\n 3 Oklahoma St. 100  63.4  41.9  17.1\n 2 Kansas St.   100  75.9  33.2  10.4\n 5 Iowa St.     100  55.6  15.0   7.1\n 6 Baylor       100  36.6  19.6   5.8\n 4 Oklahoma     100  44.4  10.3   4.3\n 7 Texas       86.7  23.4   5.3   0.8\n 8 W. Virginia 81.1   6.1   1.4   0.3\n 9 Texas Tech  18.9   0.4   0.02  0.001\n10 TCU         13.3   0.7   0.03  0.0009\n<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March 13-16. All games at Kansas City, Mo. All-kenpom: Marcus Smart, Oklahoma State (kPOY); Jeff Withey, Kansas; Ben McLemore, Kansas; Pierre Jackson, Baylor; Romero Osby, Oklahoma. As is customary in this event, Kansas is a convincing favorite. The Jayhawks have won five tournaments during the previous eight years of sharing or outright winning the regular-season [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/302"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/302\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}