{"id":2595,"date":"2023-03-12T23:41:19","date_gmt":"2023-03-13T05:41:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/?p=2595"},"modified":"2023-03-13T14:15:54","modified_gmt":"2023-03-13T20:15:54","slug":"2023-tourney-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/2023-tourney-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"2023 tourney forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<pre><strong>                             Rd2   Swt16  Elite8 Final4 Final  Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1MW Houston                 93.8   71.6   56.7   38.6   23.5   15.0   \r\n 1S  Alabama                 97.6   69.8   52.2   35.8   23.4   13.5   \r\n 2W  UCLA                    94.6   71.1   46.5   29.0   17.3   10.6   \r\n 1E  Purdue                  98.3   63.4   36.7   23.5   12.7    6.3   \r\n 2MW Texas                   88.8   60.4   39.8   21.3   11.0    6.0   \r\n 4E  Tennessee               84.1   57.7   32.1   20.7   11.3    5.7   \r\n 4W  Connecticut             80.1   51.1   31.0   16.4    9.0    5.1   \r\n 3W  Gonzaga                 87.0   60.3   30.1   16.6    8.7    4.7   \r\n 2S  Arizona                 87.0   56.4   34.0   16.7    9.0    4.1   \r\n 1W  Kansas                  95.4   60.8   31.6   15.1    7.5    3.8   \r\n 2E  Marquette               83.7   53.2   33.1   16.1    7.7    3.3   \r\n 5W  Saint Mary's            69.3   33.5   17.5    7.9    3.8    1.8   \r\n 6S  Creighton               67.7   39.1   20.0    8.7    4.2    1.7   \r\n 5S  San Diego St.           70.4   45.2   17.4    8.7    4.2    1.7   \r\n 3S  Baylor                  78.3   42.4   20.9    8.8    4.1    1.6   \r\n 3MW Xavier                  85.0   49.3   22.6    9.6    3.8    1.6   \r\n 3E  Kansas St.              78.4   42.9   20.8    8.4    3.3    1.1   \r\n10S  Utah St.                62.4   28.0   14.1    5.6    2.5    0.9   \r\n 6MW Iowa St.                62.3   32.4   14.0    5.6    2.1    0.9   \r\n 5E  Duke                    62.7   26.2   10.8    5.4    2.2    0.8   \r\n 6E  Kentucky                57.3   31.3   14.9    5.9    2.2    0.8   \r\n 9S  West Virginia           51.8   15.7    8.7    4.1    1.8    0.7   \r\n 7MW Texas A&M               57.6   22.9   11.7    4.7    1.7    0.7   \r\n 4MW Indiana                 63.4   37.1   12.2    5.2    1.8    0.7   \r\n 8E  Memphis                 51.2   18.9    8.3    4.2    1.7    0.6   \r\n 8S  Maryland                48.2   14.2    7.7    3.5    1.5    0.6   \r\n 8W  Arkansas                55.5   22.8    9.4    3.5    1.4    0.5   \r\n 4S  Virginia                67.7   32.1    9.9    4.1    1.6    0.5   \r\n 9E  Florida Atlantic        48.8   17.7    7.7    3.8    1.5    0.5   \r\n 7E  Michigan St.            52.6   23.0   11.5    4.3    1.5    0.5   \r\n 9MW Auburn                  54.7   15.9    9.0    3.8    1.3    0.5   \r\n 6W  TCU                     60.8   24.1    8.6    3.4    1.3    0.5   \r\n10W  Boise St.               55.4   16.4    6.7    2.6    0.9    0.3   \r\n10E  USC                     47.4   19.4    9.2    3.2    1.0    0.3   \r\n 5MW Miami FL                55.9   27.3    7.6    2.8    0.8    0.3   \r\n11E  Providence              42.7   20.2    8.1    2.7    0.8    0.2   \r\n 8MW Iowa                    45.3   11.4    5.9    2.2    0.7    0.2   \r\n 9W  Illinois                44.5   16.0    5.9    1.9    0.7    0.2   \r\n10MW Penn St.                42.4   14.1    6.1    2.1    0.6    0.2   \r\n 7W  Northwestern            44.6   11.4    4.1    1.3    0.4    0.1   \r\n 7S  Missouri                37.6   12.5    4.8    1.4    0.5    0.1   \r\n11S  N.C. State              32.3   13.2    4.4    1.2    0.4    0.10  \r\n12MW Drake                   44.1   19.1    4.6    1.5    0.4    0.10  \r\n11MW Mississippi St.         23.0    9.8    3.3    1.0    0.3    0.09  \r\n12E  Oral Roberts            37.3   11.2    3.2    1.2    0.3    0.08  \r\n11W  Nevada                  23.4    7.8    2.3    0.8    0.2    0.07  \r\n13MW Kent St.                36.6   16.5    3.7    1.1    0.3    0.06  \r\n12W  VCU                     30.7    8.8    2.8    0.7    0.2    0.06  \r\n12S  Charleston              29.6   13.4    2.7    0.8    0.2    0.04  \r\n13W  Iona                    19.9    6.6    1.9    0.4    0.1    0.03  \r\n11W  Arizona St.             15.8    4.4    1.1    0.3    0.08   0.02  \r\n11MW Pittsburgh              14.7    5.2    1.4    0.4    0.08   0.02  \r\n13S  Furman                  32.3    9.3    1.4    0.3    0.08   0.01  \r\n13E  Louisiana               15.9    4.9    1.0    0.2    0.05   0.007 \r\n14S  UC Santa Barbara        21.7    5.3    1.1    0.2    0.04   0.005 \r\n14E  Montana St.             21.6    5.6    1.2    0.2    0.03   0.005 \r\n15E  Vermont                 16.3    4.3    1.1    0.2    0.03   0.004 \r\n14W  Grand Canyon            13.0    3.5    0.5    0.09   0.01   0.002 \r\n15S  Princeton               13.0    3.1    0.7    0.1    0.02   0.002 \r\n15MW Colgate                 11.2    2.7    0.6    0.1    0.01   0.001 \r\n14MW Kennesaw St.            15.0    3.4    0.5    0.06   0.008  <.001 \r\n16MW Northern Kentucky        6.2    1.1    0.2    0.03   0.003  <.001 \r\n15W  UNC Asheville            5.4    1.0    0.1    0.01   0.002  <.001 \r\n16S  Texas A&#038;M Corpus Chris   2.2    0.3    0.04   0.004  <.001  <.001 \r\n16W  Howard                   4.6    0.4    0.03   0.002  <.001  <.001 \r\n16E  Texas Southern           1.1    0.04   0.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n16S  Southeast Missouri St.   0.3    0.01   <.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n16E  Fairleigh Dickinson      0.6    0.01   <.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n\r\n<strong>                             Rd2   Swt16  Elite8 Final4 Final  Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1E  Purdue                  98.3   63.4   36.7   23.5   12.7    6.3   \r\n 2E  Marquette               83.7   53.2   33.1   16.1    7.7    3.3   \r\n 3E  Kansas St.              78.4   42.9   20.8    8.4    3.3    1.1   \r\n 4E  Tennessee               84.1   57.7   32.1   20.7   11.3    5.7   \r\n 5E  Duke                    62.7   26.2   10.8    5.4    2.2    0.8   \r\n 6E  Kentucky                57.3   31.3   14.9    5.9    2.2    0.8   \r\n 7E  Michigan St.            52.6   23.0   11.5    4.3    1.5    0.5   \r\n 8E  Memphis                 51.2   18.9    8.3    4.2    1.7    0.6   \r\n 9E  Florida Atlantic        48.8   17.7    7.7    3.8    1.5    0.5   \r\n10E  USC                     47.4   19.4    9.2    3.2    1.0    0.3   \r\n11E  Providence              42.7   20.2    8.1    2.7    0.8    0.2   \r\n12E  Oral Roberts            37.3   11.2    3.2    1.2    0.3    0.08  \r\n13E  Louisiana               15.9    4.9    1.0    0.2    0.05   0.007 \r\n14E  Montana St.             21.6    5.6    1.2    0.2    0.03   0.005 \r\n15E  Vermont                 16.3    4.3    1.1    0.2    0.03   0.004 \r\n16E  Texas Southern           1.1    0.04   0.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n16E  Fairleigh Dickinson      0.6    0.01   <.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n 1S  Alabama                 97.6   69.8   52.2   35.8   23.4   13.5   \r\n 2S  Arizona                 87.0   56.4   34.0   16.7    9.0    4.1   \r\n 3S  Baylor                  78.3   42.4   20.9    8.8    4.1    1.6   \r\n 4S  Virginia                67.7   32.1    9.9    4.1    1.6    0.5   \r\n 5S  San Diego St.           70.4   45.2   17.4    8.7    4.2    1.7   \r\n 6S  Creighton               67.7   39.1   20.0    8.7    4.2    1.7   \r\n 7S  Missouri                37.6   12.5    4.8    1.4    0.5    0.1   \r\n 8S  Maryland                48.2   14.2    7.7    3.5    1.5    0.6   \r\n 9S  West Virginia           51.8   15.7    8.7    4.1    1.8    0.7   \r\n10S  Utah St.                62.4   28.0   14.1    5.6    2.5    0.9   \r\n11S  N.C. State              32.3   13.2    4.4    1.2    0.4    0.10  \r\n12S  Charleston              29.6   13.4    2.7    0.8    0.2    0.04  \r\n13S  Furman                  32.3    9.3    1.4    0.3    0.08   0.01  \r\n14S  UC Santa Barbara        21.7    5.3    1.1    0.2    0.04   0.005 \r\n15S  Princeton               13.0    3.1    0.7    0.1    0.02   0.002 \r\n16S  Texas A&#038;M Corpus Chris   2.2    0.3    0.04   0.004  <.001  <.001 \r\n16S  Southeast Missouri St.   0.3    0.01   <.001  <.001  <.001  <.001 \r\n 1MW Houston                 93.8   71.6   56.7   38.6   23.5   15.0   \r\n 2MW Texas                   88.8   60.4   39.8   21.3   11.0    6.0   \r\n 3MW Xavier                  85.0   49.3   22.6    9.6    3.8    1.6   \r\n 4MW Indiana                 63.4   37.1   12.2    5.2    1.8    0.7   \r\n 5MW Miami FL                55.9   27.3    7.6    2.8    0.8    0.3   \r\n 6MW Iowa St.                62.3   32.4   14.0    5.6    2.1    0.9   \r\n 7MW Texas A&#038;M               57.6   22.9   11.7    4.7    1.7    0.7   \r\n 8MW Iowa                    45.3   11.4    5.9    2.2    0.7    0.2   \r\n 9MW Auburn                  54.7   15.9    9.0    3.8    1.3    0.5   \r\n10MW Penn St.                42.4   14.1    6.1    2.1    0.6    0.2   \r\n11MW Mississippi St.         23.0    9.8    3.3    1.0    0.3    0.09  \r\n11MW Pittsburgh              14.7    5.2    1.4    0.4    0.08   0.02  \r\n12MW Drake                   44.1   19.1    4.6    1.5    0.4    0.10  \r\n13MW Kent St.                36.6   16.5    3.7    1.1    0.3    0.06  \r\n14MW Kennesaw St.            15.0    3.4    0.5    0.06   0.008  <.001 \r\n15MW Colgate                 11.2    2.7    0.6    0.1    0.01   0.001 \r\n16MW Northern Kentucky        6.2    1.1    0.2    0.03   0.003  <.001 \r\n 1W  Kansas                  95.4   60.8   31.6   15.1    7.5    3.8   \r\n 2W  UCLA                    94.6   71.1   46.5   29.0   17.3   10.6   \r\n 3W  Gonzaga                 87.0   60.3   30.1   16.6    8.7    4.7   \r\n 4W  Connecticut             80.1   51.1   31.0   16.4    9.0    5.1   \r\n 5W  Saint Mary's            69.3   33.5   17.5    7.9    3.8    1.8   \r\n 6W  TCU                     60.8   24.1    8.6    3.4    1.3    0.5   \r\n 7W  Northwestern            44.6   11.4    4.1    1.3    0.4    0.1   \r\n 8W  Arkansas                55.5   22.8    9.4    3.5    1.4    0.5   \r\n 9W  Illinois                44.5   16.0    5.9    1.9    0.7    0.2   \r\n10W  Boise St.               55.4   16.4    6.7    2.6    0.9    0.3   \r\n11W  Nevada                  23.4    7.8    2.3    0.8    0.2    0.07  \r\n11W  Arizona St.             15.8    4.4    1.1    0.3    0.08   0.02  \r\n12W  VCU                     30.7    8.8    2.8    0.7    0.2    0.06  \r\n13W  Iona                    19.9    6.6    1.9    0.4    0.1    0.03  \r\n14W  Grand Canyon            13.0    3.5    0.5    0.09   0.01   0.002 \r\n15W  UNC Asheville            5.4    1.0    0.1    0.01   0.002  <.001 \r\n16W  Howard                   4.6    0.4    0.03   0.002  <.001  <.001 \r\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1MW Houston 93.8 71.6 56.7 38.6 23.5 15.0 1S Alabama 97.6 69.8 52.2 35.8 23.4 13.5 2W UCLA 94.6 71.1 46.5 29.0 17.3 10.6 1E Purdue 98.3 63.4 36.7 23.5 12.7 6.3 2MW Texas 88.8 60.4 39.8 21.3 11.0 6.0 4E Tennessee 84.1 57.7 32.1 20.7 11.3 5.7 4W [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2595"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2595"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2595\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2600,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2595\/revisions\/2600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}