{"id":2548,"date":"2022-03-13T23:33:07","date_gmt":"2022-03-14T05:33:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/?p=2548"},"modified":"2022-03-13T23:33:07","modified_gmt":"2022-03-14T05:33:07","slug":"2022-ncaa-tournament-probabilities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/2022-ncaa-tournament-probabilities\/","title":{"rendered":"2022 NCAA tournament probabilities"},"content":{"rendered":"<pre>                             Rd2   Swt16  Elite8 Final4 Final  Champ\r\n 1W  Gonzaga                 97.9   84.4   70.8   53.7   38.5   27.5   \r\n 1S  Arizona                 97.1   76.3   47.2   29.1   18.1    8.9   \r\n 1MW Kansas                  96.4   68.7   44.3   27.9   14.6    6.6   \r\n 1E  Baylor                  94.5   71.9   43.3   25.2   11.6    6.4   \r\n 2E  Kentucky                91.1   64.9   41.3   23.6   11.0    6.2   \r\n 2MW Auburn                  91.5   68.8   47.9   26.3   13.2    5.6   \r\n 3S  Tennessee               91.5   65.4   39.2   20.0   11.4    5.1   \r\n 5S  Houston                 77.3   54.4   29.8   17.6   10.5    5.0   \r\n 3W  Texas Tech              89.7   63.7   38.2   15.4    7.9    4.0   \r\n 4E  UCLA                    88.4   58.2   31.4   17.2    7.4    3.8   \r\n 2S  Villanova               89.4   58.8   32.3   15.7    8.5    3.6   \r\n 5MW Iowa                    80.5   60.4   31.4   18.3    8.7    3.5   \r\n 2W  Duke                    90.4   63.6   35.5   13.6    6.7    3.3   \r\n 3E  Purdue                  89.0   50.5   24.1   11.4    4.2    1.9   \r\n 6MW LSU                     62.4   40.2   18.2    7.6    2.8    0.9   \r\n 6E  Texas                   55.5   27.9   12.2    5.2    1.8    0.7   \r\n 5E  Saint Mary's            63.0   27.5   11.7    5.1    1.7    0.7   \r\n 5W  Connecticut             70.6   39.1    9.9    4.4    1.7    0.7   \r\n 4S  Illinois                68.8   28.2   10.8    4.7    2.1    0.7   \r\n 4W  Arkansas                64.5   36.0    8.5    3.6    1.4    0.5   \r\n 8MW San Diego St.           61.0   21.2   10.1    4.6    1.6    0.5   \r\n10S  Loyola Chicago          54.3   22.2    9.0    3.1    1.2    0.4   \r\n10E  San Francisco           54.8   19.1    8.6    3.2    0.9    0.3   \r\n 3MW Wisconsin               75.5   34.8   13.1    4.5    1.3    0.3   \r\n11E  Virginia Tech           44.5   19.9    7.6    2.8    0.8    0.3   \r\n 6W  Alabama                 62.3   23.1    9.9    2.4    0.8    0.3   \r\n 6S  Colorado St.            50.4   16.7    6.5    2.0    0.7    0.2   \r\n 7S  Ohio St.                45.7   16.9    6.2    1.9    0.7    0.2   \r\n 7E  Murray St.              45.2   14.1    5.7    1.9    0.5    0.2   \r\n 8W  Boise St.               50.6    8.1    3.9    1.5    0.5    0.2   \r\n11S  Michigan                49.6   16.0    6.2    1.8    0.6    0.2   \r\n 7MW USC                     54.5   16.8    7.8    2.5    0.7    0.2   \r\n 8E  North Carolina          55.3   16.1    5.9    2.0    0.5    0.1   \r\n11MW Iowa St.                37.6   19.8    6.7    2.1    0.6    0.1   \r\n 4MW Providence              55.9   18.9    5.7    2.1    0.6    0.1   \r\n 9W  Memphis                 49.4    7.1    3.3    1.2    0.4    0.1   \r\n10W  Davidson                49.8   17.1    6.1    1.3    0.4    0.1   \r\n 9S  TCU                     49.9   11.7    4.0    1.3    0.4    0.1   \r\n 7W  Michigan St.            50.2   17.2    6.1    1.3    0.4    0.1   \r\n 8S  Seton Hall              50.1   11.5    3.9    1.3    0.4    0.09  \r\n 9MW Creighton               39.0    9.7    3.6    1.2    0.3    0.06  \r\n10MW Miami FL                45.5   12.3    5.1    1.4    0.3    0.06  \r\n12S  UAB                     22.7    9.7    2.5    0.8    0.3    0.06  \r\n 9E  Marquette               44.7   11.1    3.6    1.1    0.2    0.05  \r\n13W  Vermont                 35.5   14.9    2.3    0.7    0.2    0.05  \r\n12E  Indiana                 21.1    7.0    2.2    0.7    0.2    0.05  \r\n11W  Notre Dame              22.9    7.0    2.4    0.5    0.1    0.04  \r\n13MW South Dakota St.        44.1   12.3    3.0    0.9    0.2    0.03  \r\n13S  Chattanooga             31.2    7.7    1.7    0.5    0.1    0.02  \r\n12E  Wyoming                 15.9    4.8    1.3    0.4    0.08   0.02  \r\n12MW Richmond                19.5    8.4    1.8    0.5    0.10   0.01  \r\n12W  New Mexico St.          29.4    9.9    1.2    0.3    0.06   0.01  \r\n11W  Rutgers                 14.8    3.8    1.1    0.2    0.04   0.008 \r\n14MW Colgate                 24.5    5.3    0.9    0.1    0.01   0.001 \r\n15MW Jacksonville St.         8.5    2.1    0.4    0.06   0.006  &lt;.001 \r\n14W  Montana St.             10.3    2.4    0.4    0.03   0.005  &lt;.001 \r\n13E  Akron                   11.6    2.5    0.4    0.05   0.004  &lt;.001 \r\n15E  Saint Peter's            8.9    1.9    0.3    0.04   0.004  &lt;.001 \r\n14S  Longwood                 8.5    1.8    0.3    0.03   0.004  &lt;.001 \r\n15S  Delaware                10.6    2.1    0.3    0.03   0.002  &lt;.001 \r\n15W  Cal St. Fullerton        9.6    2.2    0.3    0.02   0.002  &lt;.001 \r\n14E  Yale                    11.0    1.7    0.2    0.02   0.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16W  Georgia St.              2.1    0.4    0.07   0.009  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16E  Norfolk St.              5.5    0.9    0.1    0.009  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16MW Texas Southern           2.8    0.4    0.05   0.006  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16S  Wright St.               1.6    0.3    0.02   0.002  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16S  Bryant                   1.3    0.2    0.02   0.002  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n16MW Texas A&amp;M Corpus Chris   0.8    0.07   0.003  &lt;.001  &lt;.001  &lt;.001 \r\n\r\n\r\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1W Gonzaga 97.9 84.4 70.8 53.7 38.5 27.5 1S Arizona 97.1 76.3 47.2 29.1 18.1 8.9 1MW Kansas 96.4 68.7 44.3 27.9 14.6 6.6 1E Baylor 94.5 71.9 43.3 25.2 11.6 6.4 2E Kentucky 91.1 64.9 41.3 23.6 11.0 6.2 2MW Auburn 91.5 68.8 47.9 26.3 13.2 5.6 3S [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2548"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2548"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2548\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2549,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2548\/revisions\/2549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2548"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2548"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2548"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}