Here are the probabilities for the NCAA tournament based on the current ratings (no injury information is taken into account)…<\/p>\n
Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1W Gonzaga 99.6 91.2 77.3 60.5 46.3 34.4 \r\n 1MW Illinois 96.1 67.8 52.7 34.5 22.2 10.7 \r\n 1E Michigan 98.4 72.7 53.3 37.6 17.4 10.4 \r\n 1S Baylor 97.5 67.2 46.6 31.5 18.0 8.2 \r\n 2MW Houston 94.4 70.6 49.9 28.2 16.8 7.4 \r\n 2W Iowa 91.0 70.6 49.7 19.3 11.3 6.4 \r\n 2S Ohio St. 93.8 66.2 41.9 21.0 10.1 3.7 \r\n 2E Alabama 95.7 58.6 37.9 17.8 5.8 2.7 \r\n 5S Villanova 80.7 45.8 18.4 9.5 4.0 1.2 \r\n 8MW Loyola Chicago 61.9 22.3 13.9 6.9 3.3 1.1 \r\n 4S Purdue 72.6 40.1 15.7 8.0 3.3 1.0 \r\n 4E Florida St. 81.2 46.3 16.8 8.4 2.3 0.9 \r\n 4W Virginia 74.3 43.3 10.3 4.7 2.1 0.9 \r\n 3S Arkansas 78.1 43.8 21.0 8.5 3.2 0.9 \r\n 5MW Tennessee 73.9 45.3 15.4 6.7 2.8 0.8 \r\n 6W USC 70.3 41.0 17.5 4.5 1.9 0.8 \r\n 9S Wisconsin 56.4 20.1 10.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 \r\n 5E Colorado 68.0 37.2 13.4 6.6 1.8 0.7 \r\n 6MW San Diego St. 62.2 35.7 14.7 5.8 2.4 0.7 \r\n 6S Texas Tech 60.5 32.8 15.4 6.2 2.3 0.6 \r\n 7E Connecticut 57.4 25.3 14.3 5.8 1.6 0.6 \r\n 3MW West Virginia 84.1 44.1 17.0 6.3 2.5 0.6 \r\n 3W Kansas 82.4 43.9 17.5 4.1 1.6 0.6 \r\n 6E BYU 63.9 36.5 16.2 6.1 1.6 0.6 \r\n 3E Texas 74.8 40.5 17.5 6.5 1.6 0.6 \r\n 5W Creighton 70.9 38.3 7.3 3.1 1.3 0.5 \r\n 9E St. Bonaventure 53.1 15.4 7.8 3.7 0.9 0.3 \r\n 4MW Oklahoma St. 73.6 37.6 10.6 4.0 1.4 0.3 \r\n 8S North Carolina 43.6 12.5 6.0 2.7 1.0 0.2 \r\n10E Maryland 42.6 15.6 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.2 \r\n 8E LSU 46.9 11.8 5.7 2.5 0.6 0.2 \r\n10MW Rutgers 54.6 16.2 7.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 \r\n 7S Florida 55.6 19.3 8.6 2.8 0.8 0.2 \r\n 9MW Georgia Tech 38.1 9.4 4.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 \r\n 7W Oregon 54.4 15.6 6.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 \r\n11S Utah St. 39.5 17.1 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 \r\n 7MW Clemson 45.4 12.2 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.10 \r\n11MW Syracuse 37.8 17.2 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.08 \r\n10S Virginia Tech 44.4 13.5 5.3 1.5 0.4 0.07 \r\n 8W Oklahoma 53.6 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.06 \r\n10W VCU 45.6 11.3 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.05 \r\n11E UCLA 20.9 9.5 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.04 \r\n 9W Missouri 46.4 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.03 \r\n12E Georgetown 32.0 11.7 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.03 \r\n11W Drake 18.6 7.6 2.1 0.3 0.08 0.02 \r\n13S North Texas 27.4 9.0 1.8 0.5 0.10 0.01 \r\n11E Michigan St. 15.2 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.06 0.01 \r\n12W UC Santa Barbara 29.1 10.2 0.9 0.2 0.05 0.010 \r\n12MW Oregon St. 26.1 9.4 1.4 0.3 0.06 0.008 \r\n13W Ohio 25.7 8.2 0.6 0.1 0.03 0.005 \r\n14E Abilene Christian 25.2 7.4 1.5 0.2 0.02 0.004 \r\n14S Colgate 21.9 6.3 1.4 0.3 0.04 0.004 \r\n13MW Liberty 26.4 7.7 1.0 0.2 0.04 0.004 \r\n11W Wichita St. 11.0 3.8 0.8 0.08 0.02 0.003 \r\n13E UNC Greensboro 18.8 4.7 0.6 0.1 0.010 0.001 \r\n12S Winthrop 19.3 5.0 0.6 0.1 0.02 <.001 \r\n14W Eastern Washington 17.6 3.7 0.5 0.03 0.004 <.001 \r\n15W Grand Canyon 9.0 2.5 0.6 0.04 0.005 <.001 \r\n14MW Morehead St. 15.9 2.9 0.4 0.04 0.005 <.001 \r\n15MW Cleveland St. 5.6 1.0 0.1 0.01 <.001 <.001 \r\n15S Oral Roberts 6.2 1.0 0.1 0.009 <.001 <.001 \r\n16MW Drexel 3.9 0.5 0.09 0.009 <.001 <.001 \r\n15E Iona 4.3 0.4 0.05 0.003 <.001 <.001 \r\n16S Hartford 2.5 0.2 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E Mount St. Mary's 1.2 0.09 0.007 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16W Norfolk St. 0.2 0.02 0.002 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E Texas Southern 0.5 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16W Appalachian St. 0.2 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n\r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1E Michigan 98.4 72.7 53.3 37.6 17.4 10.4 \r\n 2E Alabama 95.7 58.6 37.9 17.8 5.8 2.7 \r\n 3E Texas 74.8 40.5 17.5 6.5 1.6 0.6 \r\n 4E Florida St. 81.2 46.3 16.8 8.4 2.3 0.9 \r\n 5E Colorado 68.0 37.2 13.4 6.6 1.8 0.7 \r\n 6E BYU 63.9 36.5 16.2 6.1 1.6 0.6 \r\n 7E Connecticut 57.4 25.3 14.3 5.8 1.6 0.6 \r\n 8E LSU 46.9 11.8 5.7 2.5 0.6 0.2 \r\n 9E St. Bonaventure 53.1 15.4 7.8 3.7 0.9 0.3 \r\n10E Maryland 42.6 15.6 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.2 \r\n11E UCLA 20.9 9.5 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.04 \r\n11E Michigan St. 15.2 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.06 0.01 \r\n12E Georgetown 32.0 11.7 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.03 \r\n13E UNC Greensboro 18.8 4.7 0.6 0.1 0.010 0.001 \r\n14E Abilene Christian 25.2 7.4 1.5 0.2 0.02 0.004 \r\n15E Iona 4.3 0.4 0.05 0.003 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E Mount St. Mary's 1.2 0.09 0.007 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E Texas Southern 0.5 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n \r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1MW Illinois 96.1 67.8 52.7 34.5 22.2 10.7 \r\n 2MW Houston 94.4 70.6 49.9 28.2 16.8 7.4 \r\n 3MW West Virginia 84.1 44.1 17.0 6.3 2.5 0.6 \r\n 4MW Oklahoma St. 73.6 37.6 10.6 4.0 1.4 0.3 \r\n 5MW Tennessee 73.9 45.3 15.4 6.7 2.8 0.8 \r\n 6MW San Diego St. 62.2 35.7 14.7 5.8 2.4 0.7 \r\n 7MW Clemson 45.4 12.2 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.10 \r\n 8MW Loyola Chicago 61.9 22.3 13.9 6.9 3.3 1.1 \r\n 9MW Georgia Tech 38.1 9.4 4.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 \r\n10MW Rutgers 54.6 16.2 7.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 \r\n11MW Syracuse 37.8 17.2 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.08 \r\n12MW Oregon St. 26.1 9.4 1.4 0.3 0.06 0.008 \r\n13MW Liberty 26.4 7.7 1.0 0.2 0.04 0.004 \r\n14MW Morehead St. 15.9 2.9 0.4 0.04 0.005 <.001 \r\n15MW Cleveland St. 5.6 1.0 0.1 0.01 <.001 <.001 \r\n16MW Drexel 3.9 0.5 0.09 0.009 <.001 <.001 \r\n \r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong> \r\n 1S Baylor 97.5 67.2 46.6 31.5 18.0 8.2 \r\n 2S Ohio St. 93.8 66.2 41.9 21.0 10.1 3.7 \r\n 3S Arkansas 78.1 43.8 21.0 8.5 3.2 0.9 \r\n 4S Purdue 72.6 40.1 15.7 8.0 3.3 1.0 \r\n 5S Villanova 80.7 45.8 18.4 9.5 4.0 1.2 \r\n 6S Texas Tech 60.5 32.8 15.4 6.2 2.3 0.6 \r\n 7S Florida 55.6 19.3 8.6 2.8 0.8 0.2 \r\n 8S North Carolina 43.6 12.5 6.0 2.7 1.0 0.2 \r\n 9S Wisconsin 56.4 20.1 10.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 \r\n10S Virginia Tech 44.4 13.5 5.3 1.5 0.4 0.07 \r\n11S Utah St. 39.5 17.1 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 \r\n12S Winthrop 19.3 5.0 0.6 0.1 0.02 <.001 \r\n13S North Texas 27.4 9.0 1.8 0.5 0.10 0.01 \r\n14S Colgate 21.9 6.3 1.4 0.3 0.04 0.004 \r\n15S Oral Roberts 6.2 1.0 0.1 0.009 <.001 <.001 \r\n16S Hartford 2.5 0.2 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n \r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong> \r\n 1W Gonzaga 99.6 91.2 77.3 60.5 46.3 34.4 \r\n 2W Iowa 91.0 70.6 49.7 19.3 11.3 6.4 \r\n 3W Kansas 82.4 43.9 17.5 4.1 1.6 0.6 \r\n 4W Virginia 74.3 43.3 10.3 4.7 2.1 0.9 \r\n 5W Creighton 70.9 38.3 7.3 3.1 1.3 0.5 \r\n 6W USC 70.3 41.0 17.5 4.5 1.9 0.8 \r\n 7W Oregon 54.4 15.6 6.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 \r\n 8W Oklahoma 53.6 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.06 \r\n 9W Missouri 46.4 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.03 \r\n10W VCU 45.6 11.3 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.05 \r\n11W Drake 18.6 7.6 2.1 0.3 0.08 0.02 \r\n11W Wichita St. 11.0 3.8 0.8 0.08 0.02 0.003 \r\n12W UC Santa Barbara 29.1 10.2 0.9 0.2 0.05 0.010 \r\n13W Ohio 25.7 8.2 0.6 0.1 0.03 0.005 \r\n14W Eastern Washington 17.6 3.7 0.5 0.03 0.004 <.001 \r\n15W Grand Canyon 9.0 2.5 0.6 0.04 0.005 <.001 \r\n16W Norfolk St. 0.2 0.02 0.002 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n16W Appalachian St. 0.2 0.02 0.001 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n\r\n<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Here are the probabilities for the NCAA tournament based on the current ratings (no injury information is taken into account)…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2498"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2498"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2498\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2500,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2498\/revisions\/2500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}