{"id":190,"date":"2014-03-12T08:30:43","date_gmt":"2014-03-12T14:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.227.157.91\/~kenpom\/wp_blog\/big-sky-log5-2\/"},"modified":"2014-03-12T08:30:43","modified_gmt":"2014-03-12T14:30:43","slug":"big-sky-log5-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/big-sky-log5-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Big Sky log5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>I\u2019m using my ratings and Bill James\u2019 log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/conf.php?c=BSky\">Big Sky Conference<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Location:<\/strong> Weber State<br \/>\n<strong>Dates:<\/strong> March 13-15<br \/>\n<strong>Chance of bid thief:<\/strong> zero<br \/>\n<strong>Current kPOY:<\/strong> Davion Berry, Weber State<\/p>\n<p><strong>Projections:<\/strong><\/p>\n<pre>\n               Semis  Final  Champ\n1 Weber St.      100   76.9   52.4\n4 Montana       61.3   31.3   13.7\n2 North Dakota  52.7   24.9    8.7\n6 N. Colorado   54.6   20.1    8.4\n3 N. Arizona    45.4   21.6    8.0\n5 Portland St.  38.7   15.7    5.5\n7 Sacramento St 47.3    9.6    3.3\n\n<\/pre>\n<p>The Big Sky features some big-time parity. Weber State won the conference with a 14-6 record, and even six losses was good enough to win the league by two games. The teams in America\u2019s most exclusive tournament field (from the league that plays the nation\u2019s longest conference schedule) are ranked between 175 and 265, so it\u2019s almost anyone\u2019s tournament. The conference champ gets rewarded with both home-court advantage and a first-round bye and that gives Weber a nice boost here. But there are going to be six competitive matchups in this event and it wouldn\u2019t be a huge shock if the home team got upset. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019m using my ratings and Bill James\u2019 log5 formula to estimate the chances of each participating team advancing to a particular round of its conference tournament. Big Sky Conference Location: Weber State Dates: March 13-15 Chance of bid thief: zero Current kPOY: Davion Berry, Weber State Projections: Semis Final Champ 1 Weber St. 100 76.9 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}