Here are the chances each team makes it to each round based on my current ratings. Go Zags?<\/p>\n
Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/b>\r\n 1W Gonzaga 98.5 83.9 60.2 45.4 29.6 20.5\r\n 1E Villanova 96.8 70.2 43.4 28.3 16.0 10.0\r\n 1S North Carolina 98.0 78.6 57.3 33.3 19.9 9.9\r\n 2S Kentucky 95.6 56.2 36.1 21.0 12.2 5.8\r\n 1MW Kansas 95.3 69.1 41.1 22.8 11.7 5.2\r\n 2MW Louisville 93.4 56.4 35.5 20.5 11.0 5.1\r\n 4W West Virginia 87.9 60.6 24.7 15.3 7.8 4.2\r\n10S Wichita St. 75.0 37.3 22.9 12.8 7.1 3.3\r\n 2E Duke 91.7 62.9 33.5 15.0 6.5 3.2\r\n 4E Florida 82.9 46.7 22.0 12.3 5.7 3.0\r\n 5E Virginia 78.5 43.5 20.9 11.6 5.5 2.9\r\n 3MW Oregon 89.4 57.2 27.5 13.9 6.4 2.6\r\n 3E Baylor 84.1 46.9 26.5 11.9 5.2 2.5\r\n 6E SMU 76.7 42.9 24.4 11.0 4.9 2.4\r\n 4MW Purdue 76.8 45.3 24.0 12.3 5.8 2.4\r\n 7W Saint Mary's 71.0 40.3 24.6 9.8 4.5 2.2\r\n 3S UCLA 92.2 52.3 21.6 10.3 4.9 1.8\r\n 3W Florida St. 86.3 59.1 29.9 10.1 4.1 1.8\r\n 2W Arizona 92.5 48.9 28.2 9.8 4.0 1.8\r\n 5MW Iowa St. 73.1 39.2 19.7 9.6 4.3 1.7\r\n 4S Butler 84.3 52.2 20.9 8.5 3.6 1.2\r\n 6S Cincinnati 61.3 31.5 12.7 5.9 2.7 1.0\r\n 7MW Michigan 51.3 22.5 11.9 5.6 2.5 1.0\r\n10MW Oklahoma St. 48.7 20.3 10.7 5.1 2.1 0.8\r\n 8E Wisconsin 66.5 22.7 10.0 4.8 1.8 0.8\r\n 5W Notre Dame 68.7 28.3 8.3 4.0 1.5 0.6\r\n 6MW Creighton 59.8 26.5 9.9 4.0 1.4 0.4\r\n 8MW Miami FL 54.3 17.5 6.8 2.4 0.8 0.2\r\n 5S Minnesota 54.3 24.7 7.3 2.2 0.7 0.2\r\n10E Marquette 51.2 18.5 6.7 1.9 0.5 0.1\r\n 7E South Carolina 48.8 17.1 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.1\r\n11W Xavier 51.3 19.4 6.7 1.4 0.4 0.1\r\n 8S Arkansas 54.1 12.1 5.3 1.5 0.4 0.1\r\n11MW Rhode Island 40.2 14.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1\r\n12S Middle Tennessee 45.7 19.2 5.2 1.4 0.4 0.1\r\n 9MW Michigan St. 45.7 12.5 4.2 1.3 0.4 0.08\r\n11S Kansas St. 19.9 7.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.08\r\n 9W Vanderbilt 51.5 8.3 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.08\r\n 6W Maryland 48.7 17.8 6.0 1.1 0.3 0.07\r\n 8W Northwestern 48.5 7.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.07\r\n11S Wake Forest 18.9 7.3 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.06\r\n 7S Dayton 25.0 6.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.04\r\n 9S Seton Hall 45.9 9.1 3.6 0.9 0.3 0.04\r\n10W VCU 29.0 10.1 3.9 0.7 0.2 0.04\r\n 9E Virginia Tech 33.5 6.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.04\r\n12MW Nevada 26.9 8.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.02\r\n13MW Vermont 23.2 7.2 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.02\r\n12W Princeton 31.3 7.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.02\r\n11E Providence 12.5 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.05 0.01\r\n12E UNC Wilmington 21.5 5.3 1.0 0.2 0.05 0.007\r\n13E East Tennessee St. 17.1 4.5 0.8 0.2 0.03 0.007\r\n11E USC 10.8 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.03 0.005\r\n13W Bucknell 12.1 3.4 0.4 0.08 0.01 0.003\r\n14W Florida Gulf Coast 13.7 3.8 0.7 0.05 0.009 0.002\r\n14E New Mexico St. 15.9 3.2 0.6 0.08 0.007 0.001\r\n13S Winthrop 15.7 3.8 0.4 0.04 0.004 0.001\r\n14MW Iona 10.6 1.9 0.2 0.03 0.002 <.001\r\n15MW Jacksonville St. 6.6 0.8 0.1 0.01 0.002 <.001\r\n15E Troy 8.3 1.5 0.2 0.02 <.001 <.001\r\n16MW North Carolina Central 3.8 0.8 0.09 0.007 <.001 <.001\r\n14S Kent St. 7.8 1.0 0.07 0.005 <.001 <.001\r\n15W North Dakota 7.5 0.8 0.09 0.003 <.001 <.001\r\n15S Northern Kentucky 4.4 0.4 0.04 0.003 <.001 <.001\r\n16E New Orleans 2.3 0.3 0.03 0.003 <.001 <.001\r\n16S Texas Southern 2.0 0.3 0.03 <.001 <.001 <.001\r\n16W South Dakota St. 1.5 0.2 0.02 <.001 <.001 <.001\r\n16E Mount St. Mary's 1.0 0.08 0.005 <.001 <.001 <.001\r\n16MW UC Davis 0.9 0.1 0.005 <.001 <.001 <.001\r\n\r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1W Gonzaga 98.5 83.9 60.2 45.4 29.6 20.5 \r\n 4W West Virginia 87.9 60.6 24.7 15.3 7.8 4.2 \r\n 7W Saint Mary's 71.0 40.3 24.6 9.8 4.5 2.2\r\n 3W Florida St. 86.3 59.1 29.9 10.1 4.1 1.8 \r\n 2W Arizona 92.5 48.9 28.2 9.8 4.0 1.8 \r\n 5W Notre Dame 68.7 28.3 8.3 4.0 1.5 0.6 \r\n11W Xavier 51.3 19.4 6.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 \r\n 9W Vanderbilt 51.5 8.3 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.08 \r\n 6W Maryland 48.7 17.8 6.0 1.1 0.3 0.07 \r\n 8W Northwestern 48.5 7.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.07 \r\n10W VCU 29.0 10.1 3.9 0.7 0.2 0.04 \r\n12W Princeton 31.3 7.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.02 \r\n13W Bucknell 12.1 3.4 0.4 0.08 0.01 0.003 \r\n14W Florida Gulf Coast 13.7 3.8 0.7 0.05 0.009 0.002 \r\n15W North Dakota 7.5 0.8 0.09 0.003 <.001 <.001 \r\n16W South Dakota St. 1.5 0.2 0.02 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n\r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1E Villanova 96.8 70.2 43.4 28.3 16.0 10.0 \r\n 2E Duke 91.7 62.9 33.5 15.0 6.5 3.2 \r\n 4E Florida 82.9 46.7 22.0 12.3 5.7 3.0 \r\n 5E Virginia 78.5 43.5 20.9 11.6 5.5 2.9 \r\n 3E Baylor 84.1 46.9 26.5 11.9 5.2 2.5 \r\n 6E SMU 76.7 42.9 24.4 11.0 4.9 2.4 \r\n 8E Wisconsin 66.5 22.7 10.0 4.8 1.8 0.8 \r\n10E Marquette 51.2 18.5 6.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 \r\n 7E South Carolina 48.8 17.1 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 \r\n 9E Virginia Tech 33.5 6.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.04 \r\n11E Providence 12.5 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.05 0.01 \r\n12E UNC Wilmington 21.5 5.3 1.0 0.2 0.05 0.007 \r\n13E East Tennessee St. 17.1 4.5 0.8 0.2 0.03 0.007 \r\n11E USC 10.8 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.03 0.005 \r\n14E New Mexico St. 15.9 3.2 0.6 0.08 0.007 0.001 \r\n15E Troy 8.3 1.5 0.2 0.02 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E New Orleans 2.3 0.3 0.03 0.003 <.001 <.001 \r\n16E Mount St. Mary's 1.0 0.08 0.005 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n\r\n\r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1S North Carolina 98.0 78.6 57.3 33.3 19.9 9.9 \r\n 2S Kentucky 95.6 56.2 36.1 21.0 12.2 5.8 \r\n10S Wichita St. 75.0 37.3 22.9 12.8 7.1 3.3 \r\n 3S UCLA 92.2 52.3 21.6 10.3 4.9 1.8 \r\n 4S Butler 84.3 52.2 20.9 8.5 3.6 1.2 \r\n 6S Cincinnati 61.3 31.5 12.7 5.9 2.7 1.0 \r\n 5S Minnesota 54.3 24.7 7.3 2.2 0.7 0.2 \r\n 8S Arkansas 54.1 12.1 5.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 \r\n12S Middle Tennessee 45.7 19.2 5.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 \r\n11S Kansas St. 19.9 7.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.08 \r\n11S Wake Forest 18.9 7.3 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.06 \r\n 7S Dayton 25.0 6.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.04 \r\n 9S Seton Hall 45.9 9.1 3.6 0.9 0.3 0.04 \r\n13S Winthrop 15.7 3.8 0.4 0.04 0.004 0.001 \r\n14S Kent St. 7.8 1.0 0.07 0.005 <.001 <.001 \r\n15S Northern Kentucky 4.4 0.4 0.04 0.003 <.001 <.001 \r\n16S Texas Southern 2.0 0.3 0.03 <.001 <.001 <.001 \r\n\u00a0\r\n Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ<\/strong>\r\n 1MW Kansas 95.3 69.1 41.1 22.8 11.7 5.2 \r\n 2MW Louisville 93.4 56.4 35.5 20.5 11.0 5.1 \r\n 3MW Oregon 89.4 57.2 27.5 13.9 6.4 2.6 \r\n 4MW Purdue 76.8 45.3 24.0 12.3 5.8 2.4 \r\n 5MW Iowa St. 73.1 39.2 19.7 9.6 4.3 1.7 \r\n 7MW Michigan 51.3 22.5 11.9 5.6 2.5 1.0 \r\n10MW Oklahoma St. 48.7 20.3 10.7 5.1 2.1 0.8 \r\n 6MW Creighton 59.8 26.5 9.9 4.0 1.4 0.4 \r\n 8MW Miami FL 54.3 17.5 6.8 2.4 0.8 0.2 \r\n11MW Rhode Island 40.2 14.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 \r\n 9MW Michigan St. 45.7 12.5 4.2 1.3 0.4 0.08 \r\n12MW Nevada 26.9 8.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.02 \r\n13MW Vermont 23.2 7.2 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.02 \r\n14MW Iona 10.6 1.9 0.2 0.03 0.002 <.001 \r\n15MW Jacksonville St. 6.6 0.8 0.1 0.01 0.002 <.001 \r\n16MW North Carolina Central 3.8 0.8 0.09 0.007 <.001 <.001 \r\n16MW UC Davis 0.9 0.1 0.005 <.001 <.001 <.001<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Here are the chances each team makes it to each round based on my current ratings. Go Zags? Rd2 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1W Gonzaga 98.5 83.9 60.2 45.4 29.6 20.5 1E Villanova 96.8 70.2 43.4 28.3 16.0 10.0 1S North Carolina 98.0 78.6 57.3 33.3 19.9 9.9 2S Kentucky 95.6 56.2 36.1 21.0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1723"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1723"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1723\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1728,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1723\/revisions\/1728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}