{"id":1561,"date":"2017-02-28T10:24:25","date_gmt":"2017-02-28T16:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/?p=1561"},"modified":"2017-02-28T10:24:31","modified_gmt":"2017-02-28T16:24:31","slug":"2017-ovc-tournament-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/2017-ovc-tournament-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"2017 OVC tournament forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Ohio Valley\u00a0Conference<\/strong>\u00a0(conference rank: 22nd)<br \/>\nMarch 1-4<br \/>\nAll games at Nashville.<br \/>\n<strong>kPOY:<\/strong>\u00a0Evan Bradds, Belmont<br \/>\n<strong>Regular season champ:<\/strong>\u00a0Belmont (preseason #112 \/ 1st OVC, current #85)<br \/>\n<strong>Overachiever:<\/strong>\u00a0Jacksonville State (preseason #293, current #187)<br \/>\n<strong>Underachiever:<\/strong>\u00a0Murray State (preseason #142, current #196)<\/p>\n<p>Whatever you want. Whatever it is. Whatever you want. Think Belmont.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/GaiierJxvWo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>You want three-pointers? Belmont has devoted 52% of its field goal attempts to three-pointers this season, a high under Rick Byrd.<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1561_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_1');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1561_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_1');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1561_1_1\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">1<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1561_1_1\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\"><\/span><\/span> You want two-pointers? Belmont made 62.3% of its attempts inside the arc, leading the country for the second-consecutive season. You want offensive efficiency? Belmont led the OVC in that. You want defensive efficiency? Belmont was tops in the the OVC, as well.<\/p>\n<p>Somehow the Bruins lost a conference game, but just one. Tennessee Tech got Belmont on February 11 when Belmont\u00a0went 7-of-36 from three-point range. That&#8217;s its\u00a0only loss since the above commercial was filmed, a remarkable run.<\/p>\n<p>The OVC only invites the top eight teams and adopts the double stepladder bracket, requiring the bottom four seeds to win four games while the top two seeds need to win just two. However, winning four games in four nights is surprisingly possible for Murray State and Tennessee State.<\/p>\n<p>TSU\u00a0is the second-highest rated OVC team but is the eight-seed in this event\u00a0due to playing in the tougher East Division and some hijinks with tiebreakers. You may remember the Tigers from an 11-point win at Middle Tennessee or taking N.C. State to overtime<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_1561_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_2');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_1561_1('footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_2');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_1561_1_2\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">2<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_1561_1_2\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\"><\/span><\/span> or leading Duke with 15 minutes to play.<\/p>\n<p>For the purposes of these percentages, Belmont and Tennessee State were give partial home-court shares.<\/p>\n<pre><b>                           Qtrs Semis Final Champ<\/b>\r\n 1 Belmont                  100   100  71.9  55.2\r\n 2 Tennessee Martin         100   100  49.7  14.4\r\n 3 Morehead St.             100  54.2  28.0   8.6\r\n 4 Jacksonville St.         100  49.1  13.5   7.2\r\n 8 Tennessee St.           64.7  36.2  11.7   7.0\r\n 7 Murray St.              64.7  33.0  17.4   5.4\r\n 5 Southeast Missouri St.  35.3  14.8   2.9   1.3\r\n 6 Tennessee Tech          35.3  12.8   4.9   1.0<\/pre>\n<div class=\"speaker-mute footnotes_reference_container\"> <div class=\"footnote_container_prepare\"><p><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_label pointer\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1561_1();\">&#x202F;<\/span><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button\" style=\"display: none;\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1561_1();\">[<a id=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1561_1\">+<\/a>]<\/span><\/p><\/div> <div id=\"footnote_references_container_1561_1\" style=\"\"><table class=\"footnotes_table footnote-reference-container\"><caption class=\"accessibility\">References<\/caption> <tbody> \r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1561_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1561_1_1');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_1\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">^<\/span>1<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">since at least 2002<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_1561_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_1561_1_2');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_1561_1_2\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">^<\/span>2<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">sure, this one is losing some luster.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n <\/tbody> <\/table> <\/div><\/div><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> function footnote_expand_reference_container_1561_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1561_1').show(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1561_1').text('\u2212'); } function footnote_collapse_reference_container_1561_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1561_1').hide(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_1561_1').text('+'); } function footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_1561_1() { if (jQuery('#footnote_references_container_1561_1').is(':hidden')) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1561_1(); } else { footnote_collapse_reference_container_1561_1(); } } function footnote_moveToReference_1561_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1561_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } } function footnote_moveToAnchor_1561_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_1561_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } }<\/script>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ohio Valley\u00a0Conference\u00a0(conference rank: 22nd) March 1-4 All games at Nashville. kPOY:\u00a0Evan Bradds, Belmont Regular season champ:\u00a0Belmont (preseason #112 \/ 1st OVC, current #85) Overachiever:\u00a0Jacksonville State (preseason #293, current #187) Underachiever:\u00a0Murray State (preseason #142, current #196) Whatever you want. Whatever it is. Whatever you want. Think Belmont.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1561"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1561"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1567,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1561\/revisions\/1567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}