The order of the top six favorites remains the same, but there are changes after that due to the stunning upset of Georgetown by Crazy Go Nuts University. The team that should be least appreciative of this result is Kansas because it’s now more likely they must go through Florida to get to Atlanta, and that is reflected in their chances of a title dropping from 4.2 percent to 2.8 percent. Syracuse is a mover in the opposite direction due to their comically easy win over Montana on Thursday.

Arizona benefits dramatically from the chaos in the West Region, but mainly from drawing an easier round of 32 opponent. Also, La Salle’s two wins took it from a 1-in-11,000 shot to about 1-in-900. By the way, my sympathies to Kansas State. Why were Boise State and La Salle 13-seeds, again? The other 13-seeds in the bracket were significantly worse and I’m not sure what K-State did to deserve having to play the tough 13.

The round of 32 log5 table is below…

Seed Team          Swt16  Elite8 Final4 Final  Champ  1 in…   Prev
 3S  Florida        81.7   70.8   53.6   36.9   24.1    4     21.0
 1MW Louisville     82.1   65.4   47.3   33.4   20.1    5     20.2
 1E  Indiana        88.4   62.8   47.9   26.4   15.2    7     16.2
 1W  Gonzaga        73.5   56.7   34.6   17.1    8.0    12    7.5
 2W  Ohio St.       75.0   54.0   32.3   15.5    7.0    14    5.3
 2MW Duke           63.7   38.6   16.9    9.2    4.0    25    4.4
 4E  Syracuse       78.4   30.4   18.9    7.5    3.1    32    2.0
 1S  Kansas         67.1   36.2   14.0    6.6    2.8    36    4.2
 3MW Michigan St.   70.8   35.6   14.2    7.1    2.8    36    2.1
 2E  Miami FL       68.7   46.0   17.8    6.6    2.6    39    2.0
 4S  Michigan       53.5   28.5   10.5    4.7    1.9    53    2.1
 4MW St. Louis      66.4   19.9    9.1    4.0    1.3    74    0.6
 6W  Arizona        80.9   31.4   13.4    4.2    1.3    80    0.4
 5S  VCU            46.5   23.2    7.9    3.3    1.2    82    0.4
 7MW Creighton      36.3   17.1    5.5    2.3    0.7    143   0.5
 7S  San Diego St.  79.4   16.7    6.2    1.9    0.5    185   0.2
11S  Minnesota      18.3   11.1    4.6    1.6    0.5    194   0.2
 3E  Marquette      58.0   24.4    6.6    1.7    0.5    217   0.5
12W  Ole Miss       58.8   18.5    6.7    1.8    0.4    231   0.08
 9W  Wichita St.    26.5   14.7    5.5    1.5    0.4    258   0.06
 8MW Colorado St.   17.9    8.4    3.1    1.1    0.3    331   0.2
 8S  North Carolina 32.9   12.1    3.1    1.0    0.3    375   0.2
10W  Iowa St.       25.0   11.9    4.2    1.0    0.2    417   0.1
 7E  Illinois       31.3   15.0    3.5    0.8    0.2    550   0.1
 6E  Butler         42.0   14.5    3.1    0.6    0.1    728   0.07
 6MW Memphis        29.2    8.7    2.0    0.6    0.1    758   0.08
12MW Oregon         33.6    6.3    1.9    0.5    0.1    859   0.05
13W  La Salle       41.2   10.1    2.9    0.6    0.1    893   0.009
12E  California     21.6    3.6    1.2    0.2    0.03   2942  0.02
 9E  Temple         11.6    3.1    1.0    0.2    0.03   3825  0.01
14W  Harvard        19.1    2.7    0.4    0.05   0.004  22667 0.0005
15S  CGNU           20.6    1.4    0.2    0.02   0.002  47548 0.0001