Monday, March 19, 2007
Tracking the Doomsday Scenario
Here are the odds on our 16-team tourney courtesy of Mr. Picklesimer.
- The chance of all four #1’s making it to Atlanta (my Doomsday Scenario) is up to 9%. If that happens, I’m not sure how I would cope. It’s comforting to know it’s still a longshot.
- The “Cinderella’s Revenge” Final Four of UNLV, Southern Illinois, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee has a .0009% chance of happening.
- Thanks to the Xavier scare and the relative improvement of the other three teams in their region, Ohio State’s chance at the national title has actually decreased despite winning twice.
- Kansas has become the team with the best chance to win it all.
- The chance of Maarty hoisting the trophy is over 1% now, although that doesn’t account for fate which is clearly on Maarty’s side.
elite8 final4 finals champ
Midwest
1 Florida 78.83 62.56 32.83 17.00
5 Butler 21.17 10.82 2.63 0.61
3 Oregon 61.41 18.29 4.87 1.24
7 UNLV 38.59 8.33 1.58 0.28
West
1 Kansas 84.20 58.85 39.08 22.71
4 Southern Illinois 15.80 4.88 1.47 0.32
3 Pittsburgh 37.32 11.05 4.45 1.37
2 UCLA 62.68 25.23 13.10 5.53
East
1 North Carolina 84.26 56.69 37.08 22.21
5 USC 15.74 4.71 1.26 0.30
6 Vanderbilt 20.41 3.76 0.88 0.18
2 Georgetown 79.59 34.83 18.66 8.97
South
1 Ohio St. 77.89 42.95 19.69 9.57
5 Tennessee 22.11 5.76 1.18 0.27
3 Texas A&M 59.11 32.41 14.42 6.81
2 Memphis 40.89 18.88 6.82 2.64