by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, April 2, 2007
First order of business: Can anything be learned from the meeting on December 23rd (HD box), a 26-point Florida win?
Yes and no. Oden wasn’t Oden yet, and the runaway margin likely wouldn’t have happened in Columbus. Still, there are some basic concepts to keep in mind.
For starters, if Ohio State shoots 40% on 2-point shots, forget about it. Second, if Ohio State shoots 30% on 3’s, that’s a problem. If both happen, the second half will get to garbage time fairly quickly.
Likewise, on the opposite side, if Florida shoots 64% from 2 or 50% from 3, we’ve got a blowout. You knew all of that, though.
If there’s one stat I’ll be watching closely tonight, it’s Florida’s 2-point percentage. They have owned the paint all season, did so in the first meeting, and lead the nation in 2-point accuracy at 59.1%. Clearly a lot…