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    Potpourri

    by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, September 27, 2004


    Three unrelated topics to start off the week...

    Daneluis Part Deux

    Both Dave and Yoni had some criticisms about my post on the value of Vytas Danelius to Wake Forest, citing a perfectly reasonable position that his 2003-04 numbers themselves were of little value because of his gimpy state. But there is some value in his numbers, especially when he played the most. Danelius was not affected by his injury equally throughout the year. There were times when Skip Prosser thought Danelius was worthless and did not play him at all (probably because he couldn't walk). There were other times when the Skipster gave him big minutes, presumably because he felt Danelius was healthy enough to be valuable. We can test this theory for ourselves, comparing Danelius' production in the games he played most to what he did in 2002-03. First, let's look at his numbers compiled in…

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    One Month To Go

    by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, September 20, 2004


    The start of practice is one month away. The exciting thing about the upcoming season is that there's no obvious choice to be king of the mountain. The top spot in the polls will probably get passed around by a few teams over the course of the year. For evidence, take the fact that the expected preseason number one lost 10 of their last 20 games in 2004, and their last two wins were nailbiters over double digit seeds.

    This isn't necessarily a slam on Wake Forest, there just isn't a clear-cut favorite to start the season and they deserve consideration given that they return last year's team in tact. However, it is interesting that they are getting a little more press than a team in their own conference, North Carolina, whom also returns everyone from last season and has the only impact recruit between the two teams.

    It could…

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    Rules Changes Revisited

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, September 9, 2004


    I wasn't planning on continuing the discussion of college rules experiments this soon, but there's been some breaking news. Unbeknownst to me, the WNBA altered its three point line this year from 19-9 to 20-6, mimicking the college rules experiment. (Also unbeknownst to me, the WNBA season is actually in progress.)

    Kevin Pelton, who works for the Seattle NBA/WNBA franchises, has posted the data on what has transpired in the WNBA this season. Go ahead and read his piece on it, I'll wait.

    The WNBA data tends to support the trends we saw in the NCAA exempt games last year. Scoring has decreased along with the pace of play. There are some differences - most notably 3 point accuracy somehow has improved at the longer distance, while the number of attempts has decreased more than it did for the college men. Scoring hasn't dropped as much as it…

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    Selection Sunday in November Part 2

    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, September 1, 2004


    Last week I mentioned the fact that preseason polls do a good job at predicting the future, with some notable exceptions. I detailed the few teams that were ranked in the preseason top 10 and missed the NCAA Tourney.

    In this election year, it’s only fair to give equal time to the other side – the surprises that were overlooked in the preseason. I arbitrarily decided that getting a #1 seed in the tournament would define a great season. What follows is the list of teams that were not ranked in the preseason top 20 (AP poll) and earned a number 1 seed in the postseason prom. It has happened more often than I expected.

    What's striking about this list is how poorly these ten teams fared in the dance. There's only one final four team in the bunch and four of these teams were second round losers. Not…

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