CourtIntelligence powered by

Most recent entries

  • Offense vs. Defense: Assist rate
  • Offense vs. Defense: Three-point attempts
  • Offense vs. Defense: Rebounding
  • Offense vs. Defense: 3-point percentage
  • Offense vs. Defense: average possession length
  • Is free throw defense real?
  • Offense vs. Defense: free throw percentage
  • Offense vs. Defense: the eternal struggle
  • Your 2015 kPOY: Frank Kaminsky
  • The NRG effect
  • The good stuff

    At other venues...
  • ($)
  • Deadspin
  • Slate

  • Strategy
  • Whether to foul up 3 late
  • The value of 2-for-1’s
  • Whether to foul when tied (1, 2, 3)
  • Who's the best in-game coach?

  • Philosophy
  • All points are not created equal
  • Brady Heslip’s non-slump
  • The magic of negative motivation
  • A treatise on plus-minus
  • The preseason AP poll is great
  • The lack of information in close-game performance
  • Why I don’t believe in clutchness*

  • Fun stuff
  • The missing 1-point games
  • Which two teams last lost longest ago?
  • How many first-round picks will Kentucky have?
  • Prepare for the Kobe invasion
  • Predicting John Henson's free throw percentage
  • Can Derrick Williams set the three-point accuracy record?
  • Play-by-play Theater: earliest disqualification
  • Monthly Archives

  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • April 2015
  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • December 2014
  • November 2014
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • July 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • July 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • July 2007
  • June 2007
  • May 2007
  • April 2007
  • March 2007
  • February 2007
  • January 2007
  • December 2006
  • November 2006
  • October 2006
  • September 2006
  • August 2006
  • July 2006
  • June 2006
  • May 2006
  • April 2006
  • March 2006
  • February 2006
  • January 2006
  • December 2005
  • November 2005
  • October 2005
  • September 2005
  • August 2005
  • July 2005
  • June 2005
  • May 2005
  • April 2005
  • March 2005
  • February 2005
  • January 2005
  • December 2004
  • November 2004
  • October 2004
  • September 2004
  • August 2004
  • July 2004
  • June 2004
  • May 2004
  • April 2004
  • March 2004
  • February 2004
  • January 2004
  • December 2003
  • November 2003

  • RSS feed

    Absolutely Redonkulous

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, November 3, 2005

    Apparently I missed the memo that there was to be some sort of blogger’s midnight madness on November 1st. Between this week’s return of Big Ten Wonk and Mid-Majority, I feel content to continue my pre-season sabbatical for a few more days. If you can’t waste eight hours a day at those two places for the rest of the week, you’re just not trying.

    As for me, this is the time of the year where the blog makes the transition from being proactive to reactive. For all you people that had better things to do over the past six months than think about hoops, here’s a recap of what I learned last summer.

    - Much like the rotation of the earth, college b-ball is slowing down.
    - The job turnover of college coaches is about the same as for Supreme Court justices - at…



    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, October 19, 2005

    As some of you have discovered, a first attempt at schedules has been posted. As always, corrections are encouraged. I am going to be on vacation for the next couple of weeks, so if you don’t get a prompt response to your e-mails, that’s why.


    The new RPI and its effect on scheduling

    by Ken Pomeroy on Friday, October 14, 2005

    I love it when data speaks for itself. It doesn’t happen often, but I believe I’ve found one of those cases.

    When it was revealed last summer that the RPI would be altered to give an undisclosed bonus to road wins and then when the formula was announced last summer, it was hailed as a boon for teams in non-power conferences. Not only would they be rewarded with a boost in the RPI for all of the non-conference road games they have to play, but they would also reap the benefit of power conference teams that want to take advantage of the road win component of the RPI. Power conference teams would in turn schedule a few more road games because of the new formula. Life would be great.

    I recall this claim being rather common. Unfortunately, the only example I can find at the moment is from Dick…



    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, October 5, 2005

    As a stat-head, I’m not one that believes in hot streaks or clutch plays. That’s not to say that such things should be banned from the sports vernacular, just that they aren’t skills people have or can acquire. I do believe that people tend to perform better under pressure, be it in basketball or any other activity. I don’t know of a good way to support that in basketball, though. Clutch shooting can always be offset by clutch defense, so it’s not something that comes out in the stats. Free throw shooting can’t be defended, so maybe that can tell us something about how pressure affects players.

      2005 Season MOV FT% Games 33+ 66.8 171 29-32 66.4 123 25-28 66.2 158 21-24 67.7 285 17-20 69.0 454 13-16 69.4 655 9-12 69.4 859 5-8 69.4 871

    This data above shows how well Division I teams shot free throws…


    Blinded by the Points

    by Ken Pomeroy on Friday, September 30, 2005

    Normally, a guy that scores a lot of points can be considered a productive offensive player. Normally, but not always.

    I love Dean Oliver’s offensive rating as much as anyone, because it takes all aspects of a player’s statistical performance and states it in terms of efficiency, which we can easily relate to in terms of good and bad. If someone hands you a stats sheet, you can’t exactly compute offensive rating in your head (unless you’re Scott Flansburg). However, one can get a good idea about a scorer’s efficiency by looking at the readily available field goal percentage and the ability to get to the line. For example, compare these guys:

     PPG FG-FGA(Pct.) 3FG-FGA(Pct.) FTA-FTM(Pct.) Smith, Steven…. 20.3 206-481(.428) 34-116(.293) 142-176(.807) Fazekas, Nick…. 20.7 223-444(.502) 33-101(.327) 183-232(.789) 

    La Salle’s Steven Smith and Nevada’s Nick Fazekas are two of the leading returning scorers in the nation, and…


    A Systematic Breakdown

    by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, September 26, 2005

    Fans of the Big Blue must be restless. There aren’t enough good reasons to begin actively calling for Tubby Smith’s head. But there also aren’t enough signs to enthusiastically support him. Such is the state of a basketball program that has hung around the top ten for the last two years but at the same time hasn’t been a real threat to claim the national championship that its fans demand. The situation is uncomfortable enough that off-season rumors of Tubby going to Virginia, a team that finished dead last in the ACC, were widely considered credible.

    The Wildcats face an uncertain future in 2005-06. Kelenna Azubuike turned pro and found an uncertain future himself. Randolph Morris followed the Azubuike career plan, but has decided to try to return to college after going undrafted like Azubuike. Then there’s reserve forward Joe Crawford who tried to leave in the middle of last…


    Landlord’s Revenge

    by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, September 22, 2005

    Back when I was taking correspondence courses from the Skip Bayless School of Journalism, I equated Shelden Williams with Emeka Okafor. Honestly, I don’t think I’ve received more feedback about something I’ve posted here. I can see why Bayless is so successful at his racket of providing weak evidence for absurd positions.

    But I felt like I supported my absurd position well. Williams appeared to be just as effective as Okafor on both ends of the floor. Granted, Okafor ran the court better than Williams, but based on what could be measured, there wasn’t much difference between what each provided his respective team.

    Much of the criticism from the piece on Williams centered on my choice of using stats from the easier half of Duke’s season and comparing them with an enitre UConn season. Among a recent spate of quality posts, Ryan made a similar comparison based on…


    Individual Stats Primer

    by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, September 21, 2005

    Since there will be more discussion of individual stats on this site this season, I thought I’d throw together a post to let people know what values of each are exceptional. These are the measures I refer to on a regular basis. I’ll add to and adjust this document as events warrant.

    Percentage of possible minutes played (%Min): Self explanatory, I think. La Salle’s Steven Smith (97.3%) led all D1 players in 2005. He missed just 32 of the 1,185 minutes that the Explorers played. Wyoming point guard Jay Straight (96.9%) was second, including a Ripken-esque nine consecutive games without a rest. Few players exceed 90%.

    Offensive rating (ORtg): A measure of personal offensive efficiency developed by Dean Oliver. The formula is very complicated, but accurate. For a detailed explanation, buy Basketball on Paper. Anything over 110 is good, and 120 is excellent for a player that is the…


    Unfinished Business

    by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, September 11, 2005

    On January 19th, LSU beat Arkansas 66-63 in overtime. It was a particularly fortunate victory for LSU, because the game went to overtime only when officials conferred about a would-be game-winning three-pointer by Arkansas’ Michael Jones at the end of regulation. The shot was ruled a three by one official and a two by the other. Ultimately, replays were inconclusive (can we get some HD monitors, please?), the officials ruled the shot a two, and LSU got an extra chance with the overtime.

    This is one example of how a goofy break can influence the outcome of a contest. Over the course of a season, these breaks are supposed to even out, but they don’t for some squads. For some closure on my earlier look at the unluckiest teams of 2005, here were the 20 luckiest teams in conference play from 2005, based on the difference between expected…


    New Digs

    by Ken Pomeroy on Tuesday, August 30, 2005

    Welcome to v2.0! I’ve given this place a little bit of a makeover, including the following:

    - Additional sortable stats for each team, and 2004 stats have been added as well.

    - I hired a highly-respected marketing firm to come up with a new name for the blog, and it paid off big-time.

    - RPI data has been added for 1999. Relive the spectacle that was New Mexico getting an at-large bid while ranked 74th in the RPI.

    - Pomeroy Ratings pages have been standardized back to 1999.

    - More background on what the various tempo-free stats mean, and how they can make your life better. Also, I’m introducing a new free throw multiplier of .475! If you don’t know what that means, don’t worry.

    - The blog is a little “cleaner” and it should be more readable, especially with respect to tables and lists.

    Regular posting…


    Page 68 of 92 pages ‹ First  < 66 67 68 69 70 >  Last ›