by Ken Pomeroy on Thursday, March 18, 2004
Its a final, Syracuse 80, BYU 75. Mark Bigelow missed a good look at a 3 that would have given the Cougars a lead. McNamara finishes with 43, good for 21st on the single game tournament record list. BYU coach Steve Cleveland got caught sleeping when he failed to remove Araujo after his 3rd foul early in the 2nd half. Cleveland had a similar lapse in the MWC semi-final loss to Utah when he was unaware of his own team's foul total in the final minute of that game, and Utah was able to run out the clock for a victory.
Update...BYU rebounds a McNamara miss. They take a timeout with 32 seconds to go, and can pretty much take the last shot if they desire. Still 77-75 Syracuse.
Final minute...Araujo inexplicably attempts a three-pointer and draws air. Syracuse ball with 47 seconds to go, up 2.
Update...1:36 to go.…
by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 17, 2004
Some things to watch for in this year's tourney, and yeah I am using the old region names:
South Region (Atlanta)
This is the toughest region in the brackets. People have projected a Duke/Carolina regional final, but what about the possibility of a 2nd Crosstown Shootout between Cincy and Xavier? Actually Carolina is underrated as a 6 seed. Even with 10 losses, they only lost once by double digits. But they might have trouble with Air Force in the 1st round. Especially because it's in the Falcons back yard and at altitude. The Sean May/Nick Welch match-up will be key. Welch will need to have a big night offensively for Air Force to have a chance. Could a Princeton win over Texas send John Thompson III into the lead for the recently vacated Georgetown coaching position? Princeton gave the Horns fits last year in a regular season game in Austin.…
The most popular upset pick I am hearing is Texas Tech over Saint Joe's in the 2nd round. The theory goes that Bobby K. will craft a brilliant game plan to vanquish the Hawks.
Has anybody looked at Knight's tournament record lately? He hasn't made it to the Sweet 16 in his last 7 tournament appearances! Knight's a great coach, but his greatness comes from teaching the game, not from what he does during the game. How many games are won with a game plan? Not many. You teach your team how to play, you teach them your system, and then they play. At this point we have a pretty good idea of how good Texas Tech is, and not so much with Saint Joe's. If Bob Knight could craft game plans to beat elite teams, why do the Red Raiders have 10 losses?
Chances are Texas Tech may not…
by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, March 15, 2004
As the traffic of this site reaches its peak today, it's time to give thanks to the folks who contributed to this site’s success. Even though it's technically a one-man operation here, a lot of people chipped in to make things better.
Many people have submitted corrections to the games file used to create the schedule pages over the course of the year. The people who really have gone beyond the call of duty are Andy Dolphin and Kenneth Massey. They also have interesting web sites that you should check out if you haven’t already.
There were numerous other people who chipped in with score corrections or by reporting problems/errors on the site. I can’t mention you all by name, but thanks to everyone who was involved.
The PR department of kenpom.com would like to thank the following people for giving this place some free publicity:
by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, March 14, 2004
Apparently it came down to UTEP vs. Utah State for the last spot. Andy Katz broke this news about 5 hours before the brackets were announced. I wonder if CBS is going to launch an investigation because clearly a committee member leaked this info to ESPN, violating CBS's exclusive rights for revealing the brackets.
I can't complain a whole lot about the committee leaving LSU and Utah State out of the brackets in favor of Air Force and UTEP. LSU played poorly at the end and in retrospect they didn't deserve to go. Utah State is another matter. They are so hard to compare to other teams because of a lack of quality competition. They split with Utah and BYU, while Air Force went 3-1 against those teams. AFA had 2 bad losses compared to USU's 1. Air Force faced slightly tougher competition and had relatively better road wins.
by Ken Pomeroy on Saturday, March 13, 2004
Here are my 34 at-large teams:
ACC - Duke/Maryland, N. C. State, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest
SEC - Kentucky/Florida, Vanderbilt, LSU, Alabama, Mississippi State, South Carolina
Big East - Pittsburgh, Providence, Boston College, Seton Hall, Syracuse
Big 12 - Oklahoma State/Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech
C-USA - DePaul, Charlotte, Louisville, UAB, Memphis
Big 10 - Wisconsin/Illinois, Michigan State
Atlantic 10 - Saint Joseph's, Dayton, Richmond
Pac 10 - Arizona, Washington
Mountain West - BYU
MVC - Southern Illinois
Big West - Utah State
The last bid came down to Richmond(IN) and UTEP(OUT). Whomever the last team in turns out to be, they owe a cut of their postseason check to Nevada for knocking UTEP out of the WAC tourney and Colorado State for knocking Air Force out of the MWC tourney.
Teams worth mentioning...
Washington (IN): Many times the committee has decided that what happens in December puts a…
by Ken Pomeroy on Monday, March 8, 2004
I updated the Bubble Analysis below to reflect Southern Illinois' loss in the MVC tourney. I'll do another update if Gonzaga fails to come back against Santa Clara. They're currently down 9 with 10 minutes to go.
by Ken Pomeroy on Sunday, March 7, 2004
This is the final bubble analysis that I’ll put a lot of thought into. I’ll be at the Mountain West Tourney this week, so my attention won’t be focused on posting here.
This is the first year I have really tried to play along with the committee and I’ve learned a few things. First, the committee has a very difficult job. I didn’t even take a stab at seeding or dealing with bracketing rules. Second, it is useless to project at-large teams more than a couple weeks in advance. So much can change, and even with a week left there are still some questions.
Last year there were four conference tournament champions that took spots from otherwise deserving at-large teams. Consequently, I’ve expanded the number of teams I’ve put in the questionable category. These folks need to be big Utah St. and Southern Illinois fans this week, and take care…
by Ken Pomeroy on Friday, March 5, 2004
If you can only watch one game on Saturday, ignore the overhyped Duke-Carolina rematch. Instead check out the Atlantic Sun Championship at 4 Eastern on ESPN2. It's Troy State vs. Central Florida, the two best teams in a conference where the 3rd best team, Belmont, has wins over probable at-large teams Missouri and Air Force.
Troy is the wackiest team in basketball. They are 4th in the nation in steals. But get this, they have committed the fewest fouls per game in the nation. Quite a stunning fact. In the semis against Georgia State, they committed only 5 turnovers to GSU's 27. The +22 margin was the most for any game in 2004, yet Troy needed a frantic comeback in the last 2 minutes to pull out a one-point victory. As usual, the Trojans have a propensity for lauching 3's - 49.2% of their field goal attempts are from long…
by Ken Pomeroy on Wednesday, March 3, 2004
If you were rooting for any team with a "Tech" in its name, it was a good night.
Georgia Tech 76, Duke 68. The Jackets end the longest home winning streak in the nation and boost their NCAA seeding. Sorry, but Duke is still a frontrunner for a #1 seed. The current longest home streak is now in the hands of Stephen F. Austin, seriously! You don't want to play there, not in front of their rabid student section, the "Crazy Steves." (not seriously)
Texas Tech 87, Missouri 76. Just about a must-win for the Red Raiders. It looks even better in the face of Colorado's loss at Iowa State. However, there are few signs of life in Bobby Knight's program. This is not a team capable of going deep in the big dance.
Virginia Tech 71, Rutgers 70. Any at-large possibilities for Rutgers went out the window here. In…