Monthly Archives: December 2015

It is nearly certain that this ends up as the year with the most 3-pointers shot, and it is very likely that 3-point percentage will finish at the highest mark since the 3-point line was moved back to 20’9” for the 2009 season. This despite the fact that 2-point shooting and free throw rates are […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, December 11th and Thursday, December 17th… Biggest upsets The biggest upset of the week was #313 USC Upstate winning at #175 Navy on Monday. But the Spartans had a 13% chance of winning which doesn’t qualify as a major upset in these […]

As a follow-up to the piece on Villanova last week, I thought it would be useful to look not just at what predicts team shooting percentage going forward, but how those inputs vary during the season. First, let’s look at what team stats predict offensive 3-point and 2-point percentage, respectively. As mentioned last week, at […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, December 4th and Thursday, December 10th… Biggest upsets 1) #330 SIU Edwardsville 76, #146 SIU Carbondale 74 (8%), Wednesday. There was just a single upset of the 10% variety during finals week. SIUE got its first win in seven tries against the […]

Villanova has made just 28.4% of its 3-point attempts to date. They’ve also taken over half of their shots from beyond the arc. It’s a situation that was made more famous by its lopsided loss to Oklahoma, in which the Wildcats took a whopping 32 3-point attempts, making four. If you didn’t know any better, […]

Here are the most extreme things to happen in college basketball between Friday, November 27th and Thursday, December 3rd… Biggest upsets 3) Vacant. It was a light week for upsets as only two outcomes had a 10% or less chance of occurring. Part of this was the lighter schedule following the Thanksgiving tournament action. Part […]

Over the summer, I embarked on an exercise to determine how much control offense and defense had on various stats in a particular game. There were 14 posts in all, plus a bonus post on how one could misuse stats to show that the defense has control over free throw percentage. If you read all […]