Monthly Archives: July 2015

This is part of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. A description of the methodology is here. Three-point percentage is next on the pecking order of offensive control, checking in at an average of 83% over […]

This is part of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. A description of the methodology is here. A common crutch for analyzing a college basketball game is to propose that the team that controls the pace […]

In the last installment of Offense vs. Defense, we saw that offense controls the variance in predictions of free throw percentage. But the defense still had a two-percent influence on the predictions. It’s possible this could be explained away by random error. After all, if the offense truly controls 100% of free throw percentage, any […]

This is the second of a series of posts examining whether offense or defense has more control of various aspects of a typical college basketball game. The introduction is here. What predicts a basketball statistic the best: offensive data or defensive data? If we wanted to predict a team’s free throw percentage in the next […]